Cognitive UAV-driven agro-surveillance framework for predicting crop stress–induced yield loss using spatio-temporal learning and adaptive irrigation control
Precision agriculture is becoming more and more of a challenge that requires the use of intelligent systems that are able to predict stress and prevent yield loss before it is too late. Traditional methods of agricultural surveillance are predominantly reactive with irrigation demands being based on thresholds or individual yield forecasts models that do not represent the intricate spatio-temporal interactions that exist between crop physiology, soil status, and environmental stresses. Besides, the majority of the current practices do not have an autonomous decision-making approach to preventive intervention which leads to inefficient use of water and slows down the response to stress. This paper suggests a cognitive UAV-assisted agro-surveillance system to predict yield vulnerability caused by crop stress and optimize adaptive irrigation with the help of spatio-temporal deep and reinforcement learning. The framework combines UAV-obtained RGB and multispectral and thermal imagery with measurements of soil sensors and meteorological data obtained with the Crop Health and Environmental Stress Dataset. A new GeoSpatio-TRiNet model is used to acquire long-range spatial relationship, time stress development, and diffusion of stresses across agricultural regions. The model predicts the vulnerability trajectories of the stress instead of the direct yield regression, and this allows early detection of yield risk. Such predictions serve to generate a cognitive environmental state of a Soft ActorCritic (SAC) reinforcement learning agent that autonomously computes zone-based irrigation behaviors to reduce the recurrence of stress at the minimum water usage cost. As shown by the results of the experiment, the proposed framework has a stress forecasting accuracy of 96.3% and performs much better than the traditional machine learning, CNN-based, and transformer-based baselines. The system also decreases the predicted yield vulnerability by 46.6 and enhances water-use efficiency by 41.1 as compared to irrigation strategies based on rules. The results confirm the usefulness of spatio-temporal intelligence with predictive control in terms of effectiveness, and the proposed framework is a scalable and sustainable solution to precision agriculture of the next generation.
A rational design for next-generation thermo-responsive nanocarriers is proposed, in which polymer chemistry, nanoparticle structure, experimental characterization, and mechanistic modelling are integrated from the earliest stages of material development.
M. Schifone, Giuseppe Nunziata, Filippo Rossi· Advances in Colloid and Inte...· 1 citation
This paper describes the formulation of a numerical model for simulating environmentally driven one-dimensional (1D) ground movements of expansive clay. The formulation is based on a finite-element model that simulates the redistribution of matric suction through a diffusion-type equation, explicitly accounting for volume changes due to wetting and drying of the clay. We synthesize and modify highly nonlinear constitutive relationships for (1) hysteretic soil water retention; (2) reversible soil shrinkage and expansion of clay; and (3) hydraulic conductivity, explicitly incorporating desiccation cracks through a multidomain framework and assuming a critical surface crack depth. These models are well-calibrated to published laboratory tests on a reference expansive clay, Denver bentonite. We demonstrate capabilities of the proposed formulation to simulate the response of a homogeneous expansive clay to periods of drying and wetting, considering the initial matric suction, saturated hydraulic conductivity of the intact clay, and critical crack depth as three primary sources of uncertainty. We compare ensemble model simulations with measured ground movements from an instrumented expansive clay test site in Texas over a 3-year period using detailed records of potential evapotranspiration and precipitation. By assigning weights to the ensemble simulations based on their performance, we constrain the ranges of the three key uncertain parameters. The results showed very reasonable first-order agreement with the measured data and highlight the potential of the proposed formulation. We anticipate that more reliable predictions can be achieved through direct measurements of actual in situ evaporation rates and local soil properties.
Mahdi Seyyedan, Jiali Ma, Ivo Rosa Montenegro et al.· Journal of Geotechnical and...· 1 citation
This paper develops the economics of artificial intelligence as a single connected structure, from the physics of the production function to the aggregate growth constraint and the valuation of the firms building and adopting it. Part I derives the cost of capability from scaling laws, shows why deployed models are systematically overtrained, and estimates the task-success slope directly from 23,235 public evaluation runs: $\hat\beta=0.83$ with no detectable release-date trend. Part II treats market structure: minimum efficient scale, the two-tier equilibrium in which open weights contest the trailing edge but never the frontier, and inference as a capacity-constrained short-run market that rations rather than prices. Part III is the core. We replace the standard automation assignment rule with one that prices reliability, obtaining an automation calendar $t_{\mathrm{aut}}=t_{1/2}+(\tau/\beta)\log_2\gamma$ in which verification cost, not task difficulty, sets the date; derive optimal checkpoint spacing $k^\star\approx\sqrt{v_{\mathrm{ver}}/\lambda}$; and prove the exact best-of-$k$ result. Against a sound verifier, sampling divides the reliability lag by $k$ in the small-$k$ regime and does better outside it; against an unsound verifier, it leaves an error floor that no amount of sampling removes. Part IV aggregates: diffusion inherits its time dispersion from verification costs, and revenue growth is governed by the density of tasks at the current threshold. Part V proves a Baumol bound --- with elasticity of substitution below one, aggregate growth converges to that of the least automatable essential input --- and states three jointly necessary conditions for explosive growth. Part VI treats measurement, policy, and financial markets. Part VII states the investment bridge: technological importance, industry profit, and security return are distinct objects, and a coherent valuation must respect the automation calendar, rent migration, capital consumption, and expectations already in price. The full valuation architecture is reserved for a separate companion paper. Part VIII states eighteen open problems.
Miquel Noguer Alonso· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
A new method for surgically removing training examples from a model reveals that as datasets grow, the link between what a model learns and what it produces dissolves.
MIT News · Artificial Intelligence· news.mit.eduMay 20, 2026