Sep 2026¡ Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting
Abstract
Analytical Derivation of the Tipping Point Based on Diffusion Theory & Kinetic Jerk Dr. Theodor Heutschi Diffusion Theory & Kinetic Jerk j(t) = (dÂłN)/dtÂł Date: 2012 Mathematical derivation of the Heutschi constant (đ_TP â 25,51 %) Analytical Derivation of the Tipping Point Based on Diffusion Theory & Kinetic Jerk 1. Fundamental Model of Diffusion Dynamics (Logistic Sigmoide) According to the mathematical framework established by Heutschi (2012), the cumulative adoption dynamics of an innovation within a bounded market - characterized by a maximum saturation threshold N_max - follow a standard logistic growth process (S-curve):
The results are packaged in the Greenfield Startup Model (GSM), which explains the priority of startups to release the product as quickly as possible, and the need to shorten time-to-market, by speeding up the development through low-precision engineering activities.
Carmine Giardino, Nicolò Paternoster, M. Unterkalmsteiner et al.¡ IEEE Transactions on Softwar...¡ 178 citations¡ âĄ14
Software startup companies develop innovative, software-intensive products within limited timeframes and with few resources, searching for sustainable and scalable business models.
M. Unterkalmsteiner, P. Abrahamsson, Xiaofeng Wang et al.¡ e-Informatica Software Engin...¡ 157 citations¡ âĄ17
This study conducts a case survey study based on the secondary data of the major pivots happened in 49 software startups, and demonstrates that customer need pivot is the most common among all pivot types.
Sohaib Shahid Bajwa, Xiaofeng Wang, Anh Nguyen-Duc et al.¡ Empirical Software Engineeri...¡ 127 citations¡ âĄ15
The comparison of adopter and non-adopter sample reveals three potential adoption inhibitor, security, data privacy, and portability, which underlines the importance of the technical and security perspectives for research investigating the adoption of technology.
Nattakarn Phaphoom, Xiaofeng Wang, S. Samuel et al.¡ Journal of Systems and Softw...¡ 111 citations¡ âĄ8
This study investigates how Lean internal startup facilitates software product innovation in large companies and identifies its enablers and inhibitors, and shows the potential of the method-in-action framework to investigate the Lean startup approach in non-startup context.
Henry Edison, Nina M. SmørsgĂĽrd, Xiaofeng Wang et al.¡ Journal of Systems and Softw...¡ 78 citations¡ âĄ6
The application of agile software methods and more recently the integration of Lean practices contribute to the trend of continuous improvement in the software industry. One such area warranting proper empirical evidence is a projectâs operational efficiency when using the Kanban method. This short paper takes a new an...
Marko Ikonen, Petri Kettunen, Nilay V. Oza et al.¡ EUROMICRO Conference on Soft...¡ 67 citations¡ âĄ9
Related blog posts
Google DeepMind Blog¡ deepmind.googleOct 14, 2026
Learn how Google DeepMind and GovTech Singapore uses lightweight on-device Gemma models to intercept conversational scams in private chats with zero cloud data egress.
Microsoft Research Blog¡ microsoft.comOct 12, 2026
StudentSim is a research system for evaluating and improving AI tutoring tools before they are tested with learners. It models how individuals may engage with tutors, giving feedback to improve tutor performance across subjects like chess, writing, and mathematics. The post Simulating student learning for better AI tutoring appeared first on Microsoft Research.
