Skip to content

Category

data science

2,653 papers

#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Conformal Robustness in Prediction-Driven Decision-Making

Modern prediction-driven decision systems often rely on black-box predictors, but a point forecast alone does not provide the uncertainty scale required for robust downstream decision-making. We build a score-calibrated robustness framework that converts any fixed point predictor into a decision-relevant uncertainty re...

Ling-Jie Zhao, Han-Sheng Jiang, Wei Qi · 1 citation
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Toscani-Fourier Distance on Probability Measures: Wasserstein Control, Topological Equivalence on Model Classes, and Duality

Comparing probability measures in machine learning trades transport geometry against computational cost: Wasserstein distances encode the geometry of $\mathbb R^d$ but require solving a transport problem, while kernel discrepancies are cheap to evaluate yet depend delicately on their test class. We study the Toscani--F...

Mehrdad Mohammadi · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

A Bayesian Vertical Federated Learning Framework for Multivariate Reduced-Rank High-Dimensional Regression

Federated learning (FL) has emerged as a leading privacy-preserving framework for collaborative machine learning across decentralized environments. While considerable progress has been made in horizontal federated learning (HFL), where data with common features is distributed across sites, vertical federated learning (...

Brigham Halverson, Sharmistha Guha, Jessica Bernard et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Locally Private Inference for Riemannian Stochastic Optimization

The central limit theorem and consistency of the fully transcript-based sandwich covariance and intrinsic Wald region under local differential privacy are proved and the predicted decrease in estimation error and near-nominal coverage under moderate privacy is supported.

Xiao-Tian Chang, Yang-Di Jiang, Qi-Rui Hu · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Learning and Control Beyond Linearity: Towards a Non-asymptotic Theory for Bilinear Systems

This tutorial provides a unified view of the emerging area of bilinear learning and control. Using linear systems as a benchmark, it explains what fundamentally changes in the bilinear settings, how recent theory addresses finite-sample learning and control, and how these ideas connect to broader themes in nonlinear co...

Yahya Sattar, Yassir Jedra, Robin Str\"asser et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

When and Why Do Linear Bias Probes Fail? A Geometric and Statistical Theory of Bias Detectability in Large Language Model Representations

Linear probing is the standard instrument for detecting social biases in the hidden representations of large language models. Yet reported probe accuracies come almost exclusively from \emph{counterfactual} evaluations in which every input carries an explicit demographic marker. Once only a fraction $\alpha$ of inputs...

Mo Hai, Haifeng Li · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Assessing Adversarial Robustness of Latent Reasoning Models

Large language models increasingly rely on long chain-of-thought (CoT) trajectories for complex reasoning, but autoregressive generation brings substantial memory and inference costs. Latent reasoning models (LRMs) offer a more efficient alternative by compressing intermediate reasoning into a small number of continuou...

Shao-Long Chen, Ang Li, Ming-Jie Li et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Swiss-Knife: A Framework for Reconfigurable Externalised Multi-Objective Alignment at Decode Time

Decode-time alignment methods steer a frozen language model by scoring candidate continuations with an external reward and selecting the maximiser. We argue that this shared design is a single degenerate point in a much larger space. We introduce Swiss-Knife, a framework for externalised multi-objective alignment in wh...

Agnibh Karmakar, Mayur Parvatikar, Shreyash Dhoot et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Prior-Amortized In-Context Bayesian Inference for Generalized Linear Mixed-Effects Models

Hierarchical data is ubiquitous in the empirical sciences and is most commonly analyzed with generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs). Bayesian inference for GLMMs yields calibrated uncertainty but requires MCMC; the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) is the gold standard but is slow and must restart from scratch for ever...

Alex Kipnis, Marcel Binz, Eric Schulz · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

A Distributional Optimisation Perspective on Combining Models in Deep Learning

Combining predictions from different models can improve performance at machine learning tasks, but the training of the individual models and the rule used to combine them are typically chosen separately, and by ad hoc means. Recent advances in distributional optimisation (i.e. where the optimisation occurs over the set...

Cong-Ye Wang, Yan-Kai Lin, Zhe-Yang Shen et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Iterative Atom Refinement: A Monotonicity Principle for Dictionary Learning

This work introduces the Iterative Atom Refinement algorithm, a simple procedure for recovering individual dictionary atoms, and presents a rigorous convergence theory of IAR, showing that a small initial advantage of one atom is amplified until that atom is isolated.

Alexander Christie, Miguel Moscoso, Alexei Novikov et al. · 0 citations

From tech blogs

See all →
Microsoft Research Blog Oct 6, 2026

What AI gets wrong and what failure teaches us

Jennifer Neville did not want to go into computer science—but that’s exactly where she landed. Neville discusses the starts and stops that led to her professional sweet spot and her work identifying “surprising failures” making it hard for AI to handle complexity.  The post What AI gets wrong and what failure teaches us appeared first on Microsoft Research.

We use cookies to run the site and, with your consent, for analytics and to show ads. See our Cookie Policy.