Consider $n$ independent, non-negative, mean at most one random variables, $X_1,X_2,\ldots$. We show the following bound on the probability of their sum exceeding a threshold $t$: \[ \mathbb{P}\left[\sum_{i=1}^n X_i\ge t\right] \leq 1-\left(1-\frac{1}{t}\right)^n \text{ for all } t\ge 2n+1 \,. \] To prove this, we consider a relaxed optimization problem over a set of sequences of ordered, but non-independent random variables. This allows us to reformulate it recursively as dynamic programming problem. The bound becomes an equality for the binary i.i.d.~random variables satisfying $\mathbb{P}\left[X_i=0\right]= 1-\frac{1}{t}$ and $\mathbb{P}\left[X_i=t\right]=\frac{1}{t}$, which remains the maximizer in the relaxed problem.
Let $M_n$ be an $n\times n$ matrix with independent uniform sign entries. We prove that there exist absolute constants $C,c>0$ such that, for all sufficiently large $n$, \[ \mathbb{P}\!\left( \left|\operatorname{Per}(M_n)\right| \ge e^{-Cn}\sqrt{n!} \right) \ge 1-n^{-c}. \] This establishes the exponential scale lower...
Let $(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ be independent nonnegative random variables with $\mathbb{E} X_i\le1$, and write $S=\sum_iX_i$. For $\delta>0$, we prove that \[ \mathbb{P}\left(S<\mathbb{E} S+\delta\right)\ge b_{n,\delta}, \] where $b_{n,\delta}=\delta(n/(n+\delta))^n$ for $0<\delta<1$ and $b_{n,\delta}=(1-1/(n+\delta))^n$ for...
Weibo Fu, Yanjun Han, Guanyang Wang et al.· 7 citations· ⚡1
We determine exactly what a kurtosis bound buys for one-sided tail control. For the class $\mathcal{C}(\kappa)$ of real random variables with mean $0$, variance $1$, and fourth moment at most $\kappa$, the skewness left free, we compute the worst-case tail probability $V_1(t,\kappa)=\sup_{X\in\mathcal{C}(\kappa)}\mathb...
Xiaoyu Li, Andi Han, Jiaojiao Jiang et al.· 0 citations
Let $X=(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ be independent nonnegative random variables, not necessarily identically distributed. Let $D=(D_0,D_1,\ldots,D_n)\sim\operatorname{Dir}(1,\ldots,1)$ be independent of $X$, and define $K(x)=\mathbb{P}\{\sum_{i=1}^n x_iD_i\le1\}$. We prove that, for every $n\ge1$, whenever $\mathbb{E} X_i\le1$ fo...
For the $n\times n$ lower-triangular all-ones matrix $Q$, we prove a near-optimal lower bound \[ \gamma_{2,1}(Q) := \inf_{Q=AB} \|A\|_{2\to\infty}\|B\|_{1\to1} = \Omega\!\left( \frac{\log^{3/2}n}{(\log\log n)^{3/2}} \right), \] where the infimum ranges over real factorizations of arbitrary finite inner dimension. This...
Hong-Hao Lin, V. Mirrokni, David P. Woodruff· 2 citations
Let $R$ be an $m\times m$ correlation matrix satisfying $R-\mathbf{1}\mathbf{1}^{\mathsf T}/m\succeq0$, let $X\sim\mathcal{N}(0,R)$, and let $Z_1,\ldots,Z_m$ be independent standard Gaussian random variables. We prove $\max_i X_i\leq_{\mathrm{st}}\max_i Z_i$, with equality in distribution if and only if $R=I_m$. We use...
Abhijeet Mulgund· arXiv.org· 4 citations· ⚡3
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