Skip to content

Category

machine learning

12,457 papers

#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

AdaptLSTM: Efficient Adaptive Online Learning for Cloud Workload Forecasting under Distribution Drift

Accurate workload forecasting is critical for elastic resource provisioning in web-scale cloud services, where distribution shifts driven by viral content, product launches, and user behavior degrade offline-trained models rapidly. Naive online learning recovers accuracy but incurs prohibitive per-step compute cost. We...

Xinhua Miao, Bowei Yang, Zhengong Cai · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

RIFT: Relative Isolation From Trees For Anomaly Detection

Isolation Forest (IF) is a widely used baseline for unsupervised anomaly detection. Recent studies provide a closed-form expression for the infinite-forest limit for one-dimensional data. Inspired by the geometric interpretation of this formula, we introduce RIFT (Relative Isolation From Trees), a deterministic anomaly...

Mark Daniel Szalai, Gabor Horvath · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Training on the Future: A Delay-Aware Audit of Test-Time Adaptation for Time-Series Forecasting

Test-time adaptation (TTA) methods for time-series forecasting update a deployed model, or a small adapter around it, from incoming ground truth. But the label of an $H$-step forecast exists only $H$ steps later, and real data pipelines add further delay. We build a leakage-free harness in which the label of forecast o...

Mohamed Readh Fentazi, Mazene Ameur, Adlen Ksentini · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Verification with Transfer: Exact Information Frontiers and Their Price in Calls

A verifier that accepts or rejects whole answers reveals little: under a flat prior over $k$-bit answers, zero error needs $2^k-1$ verifications. The usual remedy is to solve related source tasks, either all first, as a curriculum does, or interleaved with verification. We price this remedy in information and in calls....

Hazar Yueksel · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

DataSense-Bench: The First Step Toward an AI Scientist

As claims about recursive self-improvement (RSI) and artificial general intelligence (AGI) proliferate, we ask a simple question: do frontier AI models have a sense of data, i.e., can they reliably select the right data for training? We introduce DataSense-Bench to study this capability through the fundamental problem...

Yudi Zhang, Mingyu Cao, Lu Yin et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Just Weather Scoring: Efficient End-to-end Nowcasting with Distributional Diffusion

Generative diffusion models are well-suited for probabilistic precipitation nowcasting, but existing approaches often rely on separately trained compression or deterministic forecasting components and remain costly at inference due to iterative denoising. We introduce Just Weather Scoring (JWS), a single-stage, end-to-...

Jannik Wiese, Johannes Schusterbauer, Tommaso Martorella et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Is Real-World Training Data Necessary for Generalist Graph Anomaly Detection?

Generalist graph anomaly detection (GAD) aims to build a foundation model that detects anomalies on arbitrary unseen graphs without retraining or fine-tuning. Sufficient data are essential for foundation model training, yet generalist GAD still faces a data shortage, as real-world anomalous graphs are scarce and costly...

Yujing Liu, Yixin Liu, Yue Tan et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

When KL Regularization Misfires in Group Policy Optimization

Why does removing reference-policy KL regularization sometimes improve group policy optimization? This motivates studying how reference-policy information should enter group-relative updates. We analyze seven potential failure modes in the interactions between KL and rewards: residual KL updates after reward clipping,...

Fei Ding · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Toward Optimal Regret in Adversarial MDPs with Stochastic Hard Constraints

We study episodic constrained Markov decision processes with adversarial losses under stochastic hard constraints. Specifically, starting from a known strictly feasible policy with margin $d$, we seek to obtain optimal regret while satisfying the expected cost constraints in every episode. In this setting, Stradi et al...

Qian Zuo, Francesco Emanuele Stradi · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Bayesian Optimisation under State-Preservation Constraints

In many engineering design problems, the objective and constraints depend on the state: the solution of a PDE determined by the design parameters. We consider improving a design while holding selected state observables near trusted values, which we call state preservation constraints. Constrained Bayesian optimisation...

Gabriel Diaz-Aylwin, Vignesh Gopakumar, Omkar Myatra et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Large-Scale Benchmarking of Quantum Neural Network Configurations for Financial Time Series Forecasting

Quantum machine learning, and quantum neural networks (QNNs) in particular, are advancing fields with growing potential. Although systematic comparisons of QNN configurations have been explored primarily for classification tasks, comparatively little attention has been given to regression problems, particularly financi...

Jack Waller, Xing Liang, Dimitrios Makris et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Credal Machine Learning for Risk-Averse Decision Making

In many machine learning applications, it is necessary to guard against worst-case scenarios and predictions that could result in substantial losses. In principle, this can be achieved by training risk-averse predictive models that minimize loss functions such as conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), rather than relying on...

Timo L\"ohr, Paul Hofman, Maximilian Muschalik et al. · 0 citations

From tech blogs

See all →
MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Oct 7, 2026

Discovering the value of humanistic inquiry

Students in MIT’s Concourse program delve deeply into the human condition, debate challenging questions, and learn to develop judgment about issues that can’t be quantified.

Microsoft Research Blog Oct 7, 2026

Agent Lightning v1.0: A 3,500-Line Lightweight Agentic RL Framework for Training Agents with Real Harnesses

Training AI agents with reinforcement learning can be challenging because their tools, context, and decision-making are managed by complex frameworks. Agent Lightning connects existing agents to RL training, making it easier to improve them without rebuilding them. The post Agent Lightning v1.0: A 3,500-Line Lightweight Agentic RL Framework for Training Agents with Real Harnesses appeared first on Microsoft Research.

We use cookies to run the site and, with your consent, for analytics and to show ads. See our Cookie Policy.