Skip to content

Category

data science

2,287 papers

#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Best Arm Identification for Bandits with Shifting Means

We study the best arm identification problem in a stochastic environment with a novel form of adversarial perturbations, which we coin Shifting Means. While classically the mean rewards of the $K$ arms are stable in time, in Shifting Means only the gaps $\boldsymbol{\Delta}$ between mean rewards are stable, while their...

Lukas Zierahn, Wouter M. Koolen, Shubhada Agrawal et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Derivative Gaussian Processes on a Two-Direction Budget

Gradient observations promise more accurate Gaussian process (GP) surrogates, but the cost of incorporating them has long stood in the way of realizing that promise. We propose a derivative GP with a budget of just two directions per observed gradient. One direction focuses on each gradient's direct contribution to tar...

Hyunseok Seung, Matthias Katzfuss · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Safe Meta-Policy Design with Risk Control

Models can be retrained as new data arrive, but deploying every new version risks replacing a good policy with a worse one. We study how to plan policy updates (i.e., meta-policy) before future candidates are trained, balancing the benefits of improvement against the risk of performance regression. Our offline meta-pol...

Wenbin Zhou, Michael Lingzhi Li, Shixiang Zhu · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Dataset Pruning from First Principles: A Label-Free Linear Programming Approach

Dataset pruning reduces a large training set to a representative subset while preserving model performance. Existing geometry-based methods typically assume that nearby points in embedding space share similar properties. Rather than imposing this assumption, we derive geometric selection criteria by reformulating unbia...

Rodrigo Schuller, Francisco Ganacim · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Data Reuse in Non-Stationary Learning

We consider online learning in non-stationary environments, where the goal is to track an unknown parameter that switches abruptly between a finite set of recurring values. Recurrence opens the possibility of judiciously reusing past observations to improve algorithm performance. However, the changing nature of the und...

Tomer Gafni, Garud Iyengar, Assaf Zeevi · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Neural Sampling with Reweighted Normalizing Flows via the Wasserstein--Fisher--Rao JKO Scheme

We propose a neural algorithm for sampling from distributions specified by unnormalized Boltzmann densities. Our approach is based on the Jordan--Kinderlehrer--Otto scheme for the Kullback--Leibler divergence in the Wasserstein--Fisher--Rao geometry (WFR JKO scheme). Our contributions are twofold. First, we prove that,...

Chenguang Duan, Johannes Hertrich, Gabriele Steidl · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

RoBART: Bayesian Additive Regression Trees with Tree-Specific Rotations

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) can require many splits to approximate boundaries misaligned with the predictor axes. RoBART assigns each tree a rotation shared by all internal nodes, retaining axis-aligned splits in rotated coordinates and constant leaves. We jointly propose a Givens rotation sequence and cu...

Jeongung Heo, Seonghyun Jeong · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Computations of the slice genus and the unknotting number of links via machine learning

Links are disjoint unions of circles smoothly embedded in $S^3$. We use reinforcement learning and Bayesian optimisation to obtain new upper bounds on several link invariants that are not known to be algorithmically computable: the slice genus and the unknotting number for links, and the strong slice genus for algebrai...

Yutong Dai, Oliver Hayman, Andr\'as Juh\'asz et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Broadly Applicable Approximate MCMC for Switching Stochastic Differential Equations Using Uniformization and Time-Conditioned Factorized Neural Likelihood Estimation

Switching stochastic differential equations (SSDEs) describe continuous-time dynamics whose parameters switch according to a latent regime process that follows a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC). By allowing dynamics to change between regimes, SSDEs represent heterogeneous system behavior and have been applied acros...

Shion Hosoda, Michiaki Hamada · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Universal Local Error and Realized Amplification for the First-Order EDM Predictor

We analyze the first-order deterministic diffusion sampler of Karras et al. (2022), termed EDM, in 2-Wasserstein distance by separating two sources of error: local discretization error and its amplification by subsequent learned steps. We prove that local error admits a universal bound: for any data distribution with f...

Nicolas Brosse, Arnak S. Dalalyan · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Kinetic Langevin Meets Split Gibbs: Accelerated Posterior Sampling for Imaging Inverse Problems with Diffusion Priors

Split Gibbs sampling (SGS) is a popular framework for posterior sampling in Bayesian imaging inverse problems. It decouples a Gaussian data-fidelity term from a complex prior through an auxiliary variable, so the data variable is updated exactly and only the prior-side conditional is hard to sample. Existing samplers t...

Dai Hai Nguyen, Duc Dung Nguyen · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Conformal Prediction for Spatially Dependent Data via Sequential Whitening

Split conformal prediction uses prediction errors on held-out (calibration) data to determine how wide the prediction intervals should be. It guarantees distribution-free finite-sample coverage when these errors and the error at the target site are exchangeable. This assumption may fail under spatial dependence and non...

Ayush Baran Sen, Arkajyoti Saha · 0 citations

From tech blogs

See all →
Microsoft Research Blog Oct 6, 2026

What AI gets wrong and what failure teaches us

Jennifer Neville did not want to go into computer science—but that’s exactly where she landed. Neville discusses the starts and stops that led to her professional sweet spot and her work identifying “surprising failures” making it hard for AI to handle complexity.  The post What AI gets wrong and what failure teaches us appeared first on Microsoft Research.

We use cookies to run the site and, with your consent, for analytics and to show ads. See our Cookie Policy.