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Adaptive Confidence Sets for Binary Regression without Design Smoothness

Aug 2026 · 0 citations · 22 references
Mathematics

TL;DR

A lower bound under the uniform design shows that these separation rates are rate-optimal, which answers a question raised by Mukherjee and Sen (2018).

Abstract

We study honest adaptive confidence sets for the regression function in random-design binary regression under $L^2(dx)$ loss. Assuming only known bounds $0<c\leq g\leq C<\infty$ on the unknown design density, we construct asymptotically honest, rate-adaptive confidence sets without requiring $g$ to be smooth. Full adaptation is possible when the range of regression-function smoothness spans at most a factor of two. Over wider smoothness ranges, adaptation is achieved on the usual separated classes at the corresponding testing rates $n^{-2s/(4s+d)}$. A lower bound under the uniform design shows that these separation rates are rate-optimal. This answers a question raised by Mukherjee and Sen (2018).

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