Few-Shot Federated Learning for State-of-Charge Prediction Across Privacy-Isolated Personal Mobile Devices

Abstract

Accurate state-of-charge (SOC) prediction on personal mobile devices requires a model that can represent heterogeneous discharge mechanisms, transfer knowledge across users, and adapt from scarce target records while raw telemetry remains privacy isolated. This study proposes a module-decomposition-driven SOC prediction model that separates baseline drain, synchronous state response, and asynchronous multi-scale event memory within one discharge-dynamics formulation. The same three semantic coefficient blocks remain aligned through local source learning and round-wise sample-count-weighted federated aggregation. Target-side personalization then adjusts one locally derived personal discharge-rate scalar while preserving the shared temporal response, and forward SOC propagation produces threshold-based time-to-empty (TTE) estimates. A user-held-out evaluation on a public small-sample smartphone-log dataset uses eight target partitions and 447 final evaluation origins. Personalized fine-tuning reduced TTE MAE by 67.07% and RMSE by 71.88%, yielding an R2 of 0.936. The resulting task-specific architecture connects module-structured data processing, federated synthesis, few-shot adaptation, and local TTE inference while raw usage logs remain within user-specific data boundaries.