Expert-Aware Causal Tracing of Factual Recall in Sparse MoE Language Models

Abstract

Activation patching can identify a mixture-of-experts (MoE) block whose clean output restores a corrupted factual prediction. However, because the block output combines contributions from multiple routed experts, block-level rescue does not establish whether the recovery localizes to an individual expert or depends on the routed expert set. We study this question on single-token COUNTERFACT contrasts by corrupting subject-token embeddings, restoring clean block outputs, and then restoring clean-minus-noised expert updates under fixed routing. In Qwen3-30B-A3B-Base, a discovery sweep selects layer 44, and held-out analysis identifies L44E069 as a recurrent routed contributor with positive specificity over same-layer active experts. Its effect is fact-matched and improves true-token probability and rank, which explains part of the layer rescue. In Mixtral-8x7B-v0.1, the selected recurrent singleton is not specific; matched-size controls instead show specificity of the clean-routed top-2 set. These findings show that successful MoE-block restoration does not necessarily imply localization to a single expert.