This study developed an interpretable Evolutionary Polynomial Regression framework to predict permanent deformation of tropical soil subgrades in semi-rigid pavement structures. The database combined repeated-load triaxial test parameters reported in Brazilian studies with controlled mechanistic-empirical simulations representing traffic demand, structural thickness, subgrade Poisson’s ratio, and soil properties. Candidate equations were generated through a hybrid evolutionary search combining Genetic Algorithm and Differential Evolution, and final models were selected by jointly considering statistical performance, parsimony, and Monte Carlo sensitivity consistency. Six predictors were retained: number of axle-load repetitions, percentage passing the No. 200 sieve, optimum moisture content, clayeyness coefficient, laterization index, and equivalent pavement thickness. Model assessment used three repeated random train-test partitions. The selected equations contained three polynomial terms and achieved testing coefficient-of-determination values from 0.943 to 0.951, root mean square errors from 0.214 to 0.238 mm, and mean absolute errors from 0.163 to 0.169 mm. Sensitivity and Shapley analyses showed physically consistent trends, including increased deformation with traffic loading and laterization index, and reduced deformation with equivalent pavement thickness.
This study proposes a data-driven surrogate modeling framework for predicting
solidification time and mold thermal stress during low-pressure die casting
(LPDC) of aluminum alloy wheels. The methodology employed an optimal Latin
hypercube design (OLHD) to sample key parameters including cooling channel
geometry and process conditions. A sequential simulation methodology combining
ProCAST and Abaqus was implemented to generate a comprehensive dataset of
solidification times and thermal stress distributions. Based on this dataset,
surrogate models were developed using Support Vector Regression, Kriging, and
Polynomial Response Surface Methodology, with their hyperparameters
automatically tuned through Bayesian Optimization (BO). The optimized models
were rigorously evaluated using four statistical metrics: Coefficient of
Determination (R2), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root
Mean Squared Error (RMSE). The evaluation results show that the BO–SVR model
demonstrated superior prediction accuracy for both output responses and
exhibited exceptional nonlinear fitting capability. This work establishes an
effective modeling approach for simultaneous quality and efficiency optimization
in wheel manufacturing.
Fan Fuhao, Yunlang Zhan, Zhenfei Zhan et al.· SAE technical paper series· 0 citations
This study presents three advanced machine learning models: the evolutionary Gaussian process inference model, the artificial satellite search algorithm–moment balance machine (ASSA-MBM), and the Operation Rain Forest (ORF), which are designed to predict the maximum reinforcement load in geosynthetic-reinforced soil structures. These models were developed to enhance both predictive accuracy and model interpretability by incorporating state-of-the-art optimization algorithms and explainable machine learning frameworks. A comprehensive evaluation was conducted using 10-fold cross-validation, and the proposed models were benchmarked against previously developed AI models from literature, as well as traditional and semiempirical approaches such as Rankine, Coulomb, and
K
-stiffness. Among the proposed models, ASSA-MBM consistently achieved the best performance, recording the lowest testing root mean squared error (0.617), the highest correlation coefficient (
R
=
0.918
), and the highest reference index (
RI
=
0.951
). Additionally, the ORF model offers transparency by generating mathematical regression equations, which are crucial in geotechnical engineering.
Min-Yuan Cheng, Akhmad F. K. Khitam, Jia-Wang Liou· Journal of computing in civi...· 0 citations