Worst-case multiclass bounds do not become smaller when the best classifier is already nearly correct: what is missing is an optimistic rate, a guarantee whose fluctuation scales with the oracle risk itself. For a class of Natarajan dimension $d_N$ and Daniely-Shalev-Shwartz dimension $d_{DS}$, the optimal excess risk is known at the two endpoints ($d_{DS}/n$ realizable, $\sqrt{d_N/n}+d_{DS}/n$ agnostic [HMZ24, CEH+26, Pab26]) and open in between. We close the gap: at every fixed oracle risk $L^\star$, the optimal excess risk is $\widetilde{\Theta}(\sqrt{L^\star d_N/n}+d_{DS}/n)$, uniformly in the alphabet size, attained by a learner that knows neither $L^\star$ nor the confidence level. The upper bound composes the cover-menu-compression architecture of [CEH+26], at the realizable rate of [Pab26], with a new comparator-facing relative compression theorem: a size-$k$ compression rule that empirically dominates a comparator $h$ has population risk at most $L(h)+O(\sqrt{L(h)\Gamma}+\Gamma)$ with $\Gamma=(k\log n+\log(1/\delta))/n$, without stability; this transfers the comparison principle of the sharp binary theory [MQZ26] while discarding its Boolean-cube geometry, which does not lift to multiclass labels. The lower bound forces both terms using one class and one distribution at every fixed $L^\star$, by a pair-Assouad scheme calibrated to $L^\star$ and a fiber argument on the pseudo-cubes underlying the Natarajan-versus-DS separation of [BCD+22]. Both theorems extend to list learning: against the best $r$-tuple of hypotheses, the same architecture and the same two engines yield an optimistic rate and a lower bound of the same shape, forcing the fluctuation term that [Pab26] expected to be necessary against list comparators, and removing the factor $r$ from the known realizable list lower bound.
Let $H\subseteq\{-1,+1\}^X$ be a class of finite VC dimension $d\ge1$. Writing $L$ for the binary risk and $L^*=\min_{h\in H}L(h)$, we construct a learner achieving the statistically optimal risk bound: from an i.i.d.\ sample of size $n$, for every $0<\delta\le 1/2$, with probability at least $1-\delta$, \[ L(\widehat h) \le L^*+ 7\cdot10^8\left( \sqrt{\frac{L^*(d+\log(1/\delta))}{n}} +\frac{d+\log(1/\delta)}{n} \right). \] This settles the sample complexity of agnostic PAC learning up to universal constants at every fixed $L^*$, matching the lower bounds of Devroye, Gy\"orfi, and Lugosi [A Probabilistic Theory of Pattern Recognition, Springer, 1996].
Markus Engelund Mathiasen, Jian Qian, Nikita Zhivotovskiy· 0 citations
In this paper we show that the generalization error of AdaBoost is $\Theta\big(\tfrac{d\ln(n\gamma^{2}/d)}{n\gamma^2}+\tfrac{\ln(1/\delta)}{n}\big)$, where $\gamma$ is the advantage guaranteed by the weak learner, $d$ is the VC-dimension of the class containing the weak hypotheses, $n$ is the sample size, and $\delta$ is the confidence parameter. The contribution of this paper is the upper bound; the matching lower bound follows from prior work. The upper bound proof follows by combining the known fact that AdaBoost outputs a voting classifier whose voting function has zero empirical $\gamma/2$-margin loss with what is, to the best of our knowledge, a new margin-based generalization bound for voting classifiers.
Can one forecaster attain the optimal regret rate for every bounded proper loss and also adapt to every smooth proper loss? Recent work answered this up to a dimension gap. Its self-concordant perturbation gives roughly $K^{5/4}\sqrt{T}$ worst-case regret and incurs an additional $\beta\sqrt{K}\log K$ for $\beta$-smooth losses. We close both gaps with a one-line forecaster. After observing class counts $c_{t-1}$, draw the next prediction from $\operatorname{Dir}(c_{t-1})$, on the face of classes seen so far. This is a fresh Bayesian bootstrap of the outcomes. The analysis rests on an exact identity: averaging any bounded proper loss under $\operatorname{Dir}(\alpha)$ equals a discrete derivative of its Dirichlet-averaged Bayes risk. The identity makes the be-the-perturbed-leader term telescope to a nonpositive Jensen gap. A one-count likelihood ratio then bounds stability by the inverse square root of that class's count. The resulting single, horizon-free algorithm satisfies $\sup_{\ell}\mathbb{E}\operatorname{Reg}_{\ell}\leq 4\sqrt{S_T T}\leq 4\sqrt{K T}$ and $\mathbb{E}\operatorname{Reg}_{\ell}\leq \frac{5}{2}\beta(1+\log T)$ for every $\beta$-smooth proper loss. Here $S_T$ is the number of observed classes. Known lower bounds show that both rates are optimal in their nontrivial regimes. The proof covers nondifferentiable losses and changes of the active simplex face.
This analysis reveals a scale-sensitive interaction between the statistical estimation of classification error and its amplification by robustness, sharply explaining the transition in the agnostic rate.
Elad Aigner-Horev, Daniel Rosenberg, Roi Weiss· 1 citation· ⚡1
Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learning [Val84] is a fundamental learning model that has been extensively investigated. In this model, $\mathcal{H} \subseteq \{0,1\}^{\mathcal{X}}$ is a concept class, and $h^*\in\mathcal{H}$ is the target concept to be learned. Having access to i.i.d. labeled examples from a distribution $\mathcal{D}$ over $\mathcal{X}\times\{0,1\}$, which admits $h^*$ as the best concept in $\mathcal{H}$, the goal is to design a learning algorithm that outputs a hypothesis having low error competitive to $h^{*}$ with high probability. This model was initially studied under the realizable setting, which assumes that $h^*$ has no error. A natural relaxation is to allow label noise, that is, the true label can be flipped with probability $\eta\in(0,1/2)$. In reality, certain labels might be extremely noisy, especially for those points near the decision boundary. Hence, it is natural to allow very noisy points, though only rarely. This is quantified by a noise model introduced by [MT99] and [Tsy04], now known as Tsybakov noise. For learning general concept classes, [MN06] gave the general upper and lower bounds for error guarantees under Tsybakov noise. However, their upper and lower bounds differ by a logarithmic factor. Resolving this gap has remained a well-known open question for the past twenty years. In this work, we resolve this open question by improving the upper bound to match the best known lower bound, thus establishing the optimal error guarantee for learning under Tsybakov noise. Our learning algorithm operates by adaptively partitioning the instance space into regions, roughly corresponding to different noise levels, and returning a hypothesis in the concept class satisfying a specific error constraint for each region. Our technique shares a conceptual foundation with several recent advances in non-realizable learning, such as [HLZ24] and [Han25].
Steve Hanneke, Hongao Wang, Mingyue Xu· 0 citations
It is proved that VC classes are adversarially robustly learnable with sample complexity linear in the VC dimension $d$, providing an exponential improvement over the previous upper bound of Montasser, Hanneke, and Srebro (2019).