Modality-Conditioned Conformal Fusion is, to the authors' knowledge, the first method with formal coverage guarantees under arbitrary modality availability through architectural integration rather than post-hoc recalibration, and the evidential decomposition yields per-modality vacuity scores that localise uncertainty to the absent modality responsible.
Abstract
Multimodal fusion architectures typically assume all modalities are available at inference, yet sensor failures, acquisition variability, and cost constraints routinely produce incomplete observations. Existing work treats modality absence as a prediction-accuracy problem, leaving a more basic question unanswered: whether a model's confidence estimates remain calibrated when an entire input stream is removed. We argue that missing-modality robustness and calibrated uncertainty are a single coupled property, and introduce Modality-Conditioned Conformal Fusion (MCCF), an architecture that addresses both at once. MCCF combines a multimodal bottleneck fusion backbone trained with modality dropout, per-modality evidential heads producing modality-decomposed Dirichlet distributions, and a Dempster-Shafer combination rule that fuses the per-modality evidence into a joint predictive distribution; an absent modality contributes vacuous evidence that is structurally ignored, so the fused uncertainty automatically reflects the reduced information without test-time imputation. A Mondrian conformal calibration module keyed on the modality-presence mask then provides finite-sample group-conditional coverage for every non-empty modality subset. MCCF is, to our knowledge, the first method with formal coverage guarantees under arbitrary modality availability through architectural integration rather than post-hoc recalibration, and the evidential decomposition yields per-modality vacuity scores that localise uncertainty to the absent modality responsible. Across a synthetic problem and three real multimodal benchmarks, MCCF holds its target coverage on every modality-presence subset, substantially narrows the coverage gap between full and partial modalities relative to a marginal split-conformal baseline, and imposes no measurable accuracy cost relative to temperature-scaled and evidential baselines.
Image-metadata prediction requires fusing heterogeneous evidence whose reliability can vary across samples and latent factors. Existing representation-level fusion methods typically choose an aggregation architecture, such as concatenation, gating, conditional modulation, or attention, without explicitly defining what the fused representation should mean under modality uncertainty. We propose RiVaT-Fuse, a reliability-calibrated variational tensor fusion framework that defines fusion as sample-wise latent-state estimation. Rather than producing a fused vector by direct aggregation, RiVaT-Fuse estimates a consensus latent state through a variational objective that balances image evidence, metadata evidence, structured cross-modal interaction, and stability. The resulting framework replaces scalar modality confidence with matrix-valued trust geometry, decomposes interaction into additive, multiplicative, and relational components, and couples the latent state with conditional robustness and structured multi-task prediction. We provide well-posedness and stability interpretations of the latent solve and instantiate the framework with efficient low-rank-plus-diagonal trust operators. On an image-level image-metadata prediction benchmark, RiVaT-Fuse achieves the strongest overall predictive rank among direct representation-level baselines while improving probability and label stability under perturbation.
Yin Xu, Tie-Ming Liu, Ye Liang et al.· 0 citations
Multimodal intent recognition combines linguistic, acoustic, and visual evidence, but individual modalities may be noisy, missing, semantically conflicting, or disproportionately dominant. Existing methods typically infer modality importance implicitly and either reweight or suppress unreliable inputs, without determining whether a degraded modality can be repaired and subsequently trusted. We propose PRIME (Precision-weighted Reliability Inference and Modality rEstoration), a closed-loop reliability guided framework that jointly diagnoses, restores, and reassesses modality quality at the sample level. PRIME represents the weakness of each modality through a contextual log-variance estimated from complementary diagnostic evidence, including predictive confidence, epistemic disagreement, cross-modal consensus, and feature degeneracy. Because modality-reliability annotations are unavailable, the estimator is explicitly trained using controlled modality corruption with known degradation severity, together with a heteroscedastic uncertainty objective. Rather than directly discarding an unreliable modality, PRIME uses its estimated weakness to control a prototype-conditioned variational restoration module that reconstructs the degraded representation from complementary modalities. Crucially, reliability is re-estimated after restoration, allowing the model to determine whether the repaired representation has become sufficiently trustworthy to contribute to prediction. The resulting post-restoration precisions are used for inverse-variance multimodal fusion. Experiments on multimodal intent-recognition benchmarks show that PRIME maintains competitive clean-data performance while improving robustness under missing, noisy, conflicting, and modality-imbalanced conditions.
Suraj Kumar, Mohnish Raj, Soumi Chattopadhayay et al.· 0 citations
Prediction intervals for multi-modal regression with tabular variables, text, images, or other input sources are difficult to calibrate when those sources disagree or one is missing. A single global quantile averages these regimes together instead of calibrating to the modality pattern observed at test time. We address this through a modality-aware conformal calibration layer. The layer trains or reuses one predictor per modality, computes a disagreement score from their predictions, and uses that score in split conformal calibration under a strict split protocol. We use the score in two complementary ways. First, a continuous disagreement-scaled method reallocates interval width across examples while preserving the usual marginal split-conformal guarantee. Second, a Mondrian (stratified) method calibrates within groups defined by disagreement or modality availability fixed before calibration, giving group guarantees under joint exchangeability of the calibration and test examples. Across four multi-modal datasets, the disagreement-scaled layer matches or improves the marginal conformal baseline in 59 of 60 paired runs for interval continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) and in 52 of 60 for interval width, while keeping empirical coverage near the 95% target. In stress tests with missing modalities, mask-matched recalibration recovers up to 19.5 percentage points of coverage in the hardest fixed-mask regime. The result is a simple, model-agnostic reliability layer for multi-modal regression systems. A project page is available at https://unco3892.github.io/modality-aware-conformal.
GAUGE is proposed, a lightweight counterfactual gating framework for incomplete multimodal classification that outperforms strong baselines across diverse incomplete-input settings and is established as a principled and scalable framework for fine-grained evidence control under modality incompleteness.
Yun Shi, Enshui Yu, Kai-Rui Guo et al.· 0 citations
Magnetic resonance imaging comes in various modality contrasts that provide complementary anatomical and pathological information. Complete multimodal acquisitions are often unavailable due to time and protocol constraints. This leads to real-world datasets with missing modalities, where conventional medical image translation methods are typically limited to fixed source-target settings or require retraining for each observed source-target pair. We propose a unified framework that formulates missing-modality generation as a linear inverse problem under a joint distribution and solves it via posterior sampling with a flow matching model. By learning a joint prior over the complete modality set, our method can reconstruct arbitrary missing modalities at inference time by guiding the sampling trajectory to enforce measurement consistency with observed modalities. We further mitigate inter-modality error propagation in multi-target generation by adopting a many-to-one sampling strategy. Experiments on BraTS and IXI datasets show that our method achieves the best performance over baselines across most missing-modality scenarios. In downstream tumor segmentation, synthesized images from our method result in higher segmentation performance, indicating better preservation of clinically relevant structures.
Multi-modal classification leverages complementary information across diverse data sources to enhance predictive performance. However, real-world scenarios subject to operational constraints, such as sensor failures or privacy restrictions, lead to inconsistent modality availability between training and inference times. To handle missing modalities, prior studies have mainly covered bimodal data setups and focused on designing robust fusion processes. Instead, we adopt a multi-modal co-learning framework that prioritizes inter-modal collaboration rather than multi-modal fusion. Specifically, we consider that any subset of modalities may be absent, without assuming predefined missing-modality patterns, an inference scenario we refer to as missing arbitrary modalities. To address this challenge, we introduce two alternative approaches that leverage information at both feature- and decision-level. Experiments on two multi-modal classification benchmarks demonstrate significant robustness gains in various missing modality conditions. The first method shows more robust behavior under minimal missing conditions, where a single modality is absent, whereas the second performs better under extreme missing conditions, where all-but-one modalities are missing. Our code is available at https://github.com/fmenat/Co4Miss.
F. Mena, Dino Ienco, R. Interdonato et al.· arXiv.org· 0 citations
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