CALIBUDGET: Calibration-Guided Source Allocation for Fixed-Budget Mixed-Reasoning Adaptation

Abstract

Fixed-budget adaptation from heterogeneous data sources requires deciding not only how much data to use, but how much exposure each source receives. Size-proportional rules can crowd out small sources, whereas difficulty-only rules can chase noisy estimates or allocate residual budget to nearly saturated pools. We introduce CALIBUDGET, a floor-protected, reliability-aware integer allocator that treats source exposure as an explicit adaptation variable. From small train-internal calibration splits, it combines model need, post-floor availability, and bootstrap stability, then produces exact capacity-respecting quotas without changing the model, objective, or total budget. In a controlled setting combining mathematical and commonsense data, CALIBUDGET improves CommonAvg, FragileAvg, and MacroAvg over validation-error-with-floor, the strongest matched comparator, in all three paired LLaMA-2-7B LoRA+ runs. The respective mean gains are 0.56, 0.46, and 0.41 percentage points (pp). Overall increases by 0.18 pp, whereas MathAvg decreases by 0.20 pp, exposing a coverage-retention boundary rather than a uniform gain. CALIBUDGET changes only 1.14-1.42% of the source budget but improves performance in 15 of 24 comparisons across commonsense tasks and seeds. These results suggest that small changes in source quotas can matter; example-level selection can then determine which examples fill each quota.