Modeling language use as a joint distribution over meanings, contexts, and utterances, upper bounds are derived on the probability that a decoder recovers a speaker's intended meaning from a representation of the utterance.
Abstract
Can a listener recover what a speaker means from the form of an utterance alone? We answer this question information-theoretically, and for a listener given by any featurizer of text, including the hidden states of contemporary large language models. Modeling language use as a joint distribution over meanings, contexts, and utterances, we derive upper bounds on the probability that a decoder recovers a speaker's intended meaning from a representation of the utterance. The bounds are governed by the uncertainty that form leaves about meaning, which splits into an irreducible part and a part that only (extralinguistic) context, but never the utterance alone, can resolve. Because these quantities are intrinsic to language, no representation, however much text or supervision produced it, can surpass them; the bounds hold whether the space of meanings is discrete or continuous. Experiments on artificial languages, Mandarin zero-pronoun resolution, and color reference provide empirical evidence in support of the theory.
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