Open access
Burden of Mesothelioma in China, 1990–2023: Trends, Decomposition, and Projections Until 2045
Kang Hu
Qichen Ye
Rong-Rong Zhao
Chao Ma
Xiao Zhang
Tian-Hao Xie
Chen-ye Shao
Cheng Ding
Jun Zhao
Hao Ding
Medicine
Abstract
Simple Summary From 1990 to 2023, China’s mesothelioma burden rose sharply, with cases up 189% and deaths up 142%, mainly affecting older males. While age-standardized death and disability rates stabilized or fell, population growth and aging drove the overall increase, and deaths are projected to keep rising through 2045. The study calls for better asbestos surveillance, diagnostics, and cancer care to reduce future impact.