Hold-out ensembles based on NuCLR (Nuclear Co-Learned Representations), a multi-task model of nuclear data, are developed to study charge radii and electric-quadrupole transition strengths and error bars estimate the expected prediction accuracy across the nuclear chart.
Abstract
Low-energy nuclear structure is encoded in a broad body of experimental information across the chart of nuclides. Learning how this information is organized across observables and nuclei can provide a data-driven empirical baseline for theoretical extrapolations and experimental design. Here, we develop held-out ensembles based on NuCLR (Nuclear Co-Learned Representations), a multi-task model of nuclear data, to study charge radii and electric-quadrupole transition strengths. Out-of-fold (OOF) validation shows that shared representation improves performance over single-task learning, yielding a charge-radius $\mathrm{RMS}$ deviation of $0.0147~{\rm fm}$ and a $\mathrm{B(E2)}$ $\mathrm{RMS}$ deviation of $0.192~e^2{\rm b}^2$ across hundreds of nuclides, competitive with state-of-the-art nuclear models. Our error bars estimate the expected prediction accuracy across the nuclear chart, highlighting regions where new data would encode information beyond the learned patterns. NuCLR thus serves as a data-driven surveyor of nuclear structure and a step toward a shared, multi-observable foundation model of the nuclear chart.
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