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17,191 papers

#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Broadly Applicable Approximate MCMC for Switching Stochastic Differential Equations Using Uniformization and Time-Conditioned Factorized Neural Likelihood Estimation

Switching stochastic differential equations (SSDEs) describe continuous-time dynamics whose parameters switch according to a latent regime process that follows a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC). By allowing dynamics to change between regimes, SSDEs represent heterogeneous system behavior and have been applied acros...

Shion Hosoda, Michiaki Hamada · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Universal Local Error and Realized Amplification for the First-Order EDM Predictor

We analyze the first-order deterministic diffusion sampler of Karras et al. (2022), termed EDM, in 2-Wasserstein distance by separating two sources of error: local discretization error and its amplification by subsequent learned steps. We prove that local error admits a universal bound: for any data distribution with f...

Nicolas Brosse, Arnak S. Dalalyan · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Kinetic Langevin Meets Split Gibbs: Accelerated Posterior Sampling for Imaging Inverse Problems with Diffusion Priors

Split Gibbs sampling (SGS) is a popular framework for posterior sampling in Bayesian imaging inverse problems. It decouples a Gaussian data-fidelity term from a complex prior through an auxiliary variable, so the data variable is updated exactly and only the prior-side conditional is hard to sample. Existing samplers t...

Dai Hai Nguyen, Duc Dung Nguyen · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Conformal Prediction for Spatially Dependent Data via Sequential Whitening

Split conformal prediction uses prediction errors on held-out (calibration) data to determine how wide the prediction intervals should be. It guarantees distribution-free finite-sample coverage when these errors and the error at the target site are exchangeable. This assumption may fail under spatial dependence and non...

Ayush Baran Sen, Arkajyoti Saha · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Policy Learning with Weak Signals

Policy learning in digital experimentation faces three challenges: weak signal-to-noise ratios, rich covariate spaces, and massive data volumes. We formalize this regime by modeling treatment-effect estimates from increasingly fine covariate partitions as Gaussian observations with bounded signal-to-noise ratios. We es...

Benedikt Koch, Winston Chou, Aur\'elien Bibaut et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Review Oct 2026

Progress and Prospect of AI in ARPES Workflow

This review introduces ML methods that are most relevant to experimentalists working in condensed matter physics and materials science and follows the ARPES workflow, reviewing existing ML applications at each step and discussing their advantages, limitations, and potential for future development.

S. Ekahana, Aalok Tiwari, Pratik Saud et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Attention via Black-Box Vector Search

This work unifies prior approaches through the framework of priority sampling, designing algorithms that establish a smooth tradeoff between the number of MIPS indices and number of retrieved keys and designing algorithms that outperform top-$k and sampling approaches used in prior work and yield attention approximatio...

Stepan Zharkov, Krish Singal, Ashwin Padaki et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Training with Missed Targets in Generative Recommendation: Separating Supervision from Probability Competition

Generative recommenders return a limited candidate set and may omit observed targets before reranking. A training strategy appends these missed targets to reranker training lists, although inference still ranks only original candidates. This operation simultaneously changes retrieved-target weight, adds supervision ove...

Xuesi Wang, Yangbin Shi, Xiaolin Zheng · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Sharp Asymptotic Theory of Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Gaussian Processes with an RBF Kernel

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used across machine learning, spatial statistics, time-series analysis, optimization, Bayesian statistics, and scientific applications. A central component of a GP model is its kernel, which is typically specified through a parametric family. Among the most widely used choices is the...

Ameer Qaqish, Di-Dong Li · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Towards Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasts for Events of Interest via Outcome-Conditional Recalibration

Calibration is an essential requirement for probabilistic predictions to be useful for decision making. While state-of-the-art prediction methods often yield miscalibrated predictive distributions, several post-hoc recalibration schemes have been proposed to generate calibrated predictions. However, popular recalibrati...

Jakob Benjamin Wessel, Sam Allen · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Transition Path Sampling Using Koopman Operators and Exit-Time Optimal Control

This work derives the optimal controller in closed form and approximate it in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), which reduces the problem of constructing the optimal controller to solving a single equality-constrained quadratic program, whose solution can be characterized by a linear Karush-Kuhn-Tucker system.

Bo-Ya Hou, Shan Wang, Siddharth Ambekar et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Evolve on the Host, Predict on the Edge: Deploying Online Neuroevolutionary Architecture Search for Cross-sectional Stock Return Prediction

Accurate forecasting models are usually large, expensive to update online, and fixed in architecture once trained. We apply ONE-NAS, an online neuroevolutionary architecture search that evolves a population of small recurrent networks as each window of data arrives, to daily cross-sectional stock return prediction, and...

Jonathan Chang, Zimeng Lyu · 0 citations

From tech blogs

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Microsoft Research Blog Nov 3, 2026

Learn the rules: The hacker mindset

Research Manager Mike Walker reflects on a career spanning hacker culture, cybersecurity, and AI, sharing lessons about trust, teamwork, leadership, and why solving difficult problems requires curiosity, judgment, agility—and an understanding of the rules. The post Learn the rules: The hacker mindset appeared first on Microsoft Research.

Google DeepMind Blog Nov 3, 2026

Agentic cheminformatics with Google Antigravity

Learn how Google Antigravity and our Cheminformatics Skills accelerate drug discovery workflows, search compounds, and propose novel rigidified macrocycles.

MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Oct 28, 2026

Making machines that can listen

Professor Paris Smaragdis develops computers with superhuman hearing for applications like speech recognition, music understanding, and environmental monitoring.

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