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16,109 papers

#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Predictive Multiplicity in Cell-Fate Assignment: Label-Free Rashomon Sets and the Limits of Per-Cell Certification

Single-cell trajectory inference maps transcriptomic measurements onto developmental continua, yet configurations that fit the data equally well can assign conflicting cell fates. FateMultiplicity is a label-free framework that constructs a statistically admissible model set, or Rashomon set, without lineage labels, by...

Arjun Bhupatiraju, Abhiram Bhupatiraju · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

SACQ: Structured Decoding with Memory-Conditioned Refinement for Long-Horizon Forecasting

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) models predominantly employ patch-based encoders terminated by a flatten readout head that maps the entire encoded historical memory to all future steps through a single shared projection. This implicit coupling of future positions obscures position-specific historical-to-future...

Guo-Pu Cheng, Zheng-Zhuo Xu, Chen-Chen Jing et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

CARE: A Lightweight Plug-in Gated Correction and Uncertainty-aware Module for Long-term Time Series Forecasting

Multivariate long-horizon forecasting is critical to electricity load scheduling and traffic flow management, and to financial risk control. Existing deterministic backbones output a single trajectory, masking heterogeneous prediction difficulty across horizons and channels and providing no localized reliability signal...

Guo-Pu Cheng, Chang-Long Lv, Jing-Yi Hou · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

RideBench: A Large-Scale Exogenous-Aware Benchmark for Ride-Hailing Time Series Forecasting

We release Ride-Hailing, a large-scale ride-hailing time series dataset synthesized from DiDi's marketplace data across 200 spatial areas. Ride-Hailing spans four consecutive years at half-hourly granularity and covers three representative exogenous scenarios: Weather Disturbance, Holiday Effect, and Large-scale Event...

Shengsheng Lin, Jing Hu, Zhengyang Hu et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Do LLMs Learn from Rewards in Context? : Rethinking the role of reward in In-Context RL

LLM agents increasingly improve at inference time by accumulating experience in context rather than by updating parameters. This process is often described as in-context reinforcement learning (ICRL). Whether in-context learning (ICL) can actually play the role of RL, however, has not been tested. We study this questio...

Minchan Kwon, Seunghee Koh, Sunghyun Baek et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Ranking Prior Alignment for Credit Risk Modeling: When Do External Priors Matter?

Cold-start credit scoring -- deploying models with scarce labeled data, weak features, or minimal capacity -- is a recurring problem in financial machine learning. When a new lending product launches, labeled default data is scarce, feature pipelines are immature, and models must be deployed with minimal capacity to av...

Qiye Lu, Jiang Ji, Liang Zhang · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

QUILT: Rethinking Sparse-Attention Prefill through Shared Query Execution

Sparse attention reduces the cost of long-context attention, but existing kernels typically process queries independently, repeatedly loading and dequantizing KV entries shared across queries. We observe substantial overlap in the KV entries selected by neighboring queries, creating opportunities for cross-query reuse....

Zhen-Duo Zhao, Qi-Hui Zhou, Ming-Cong Song et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Machine Learning Optimization for Enhanced OS Fingerprinting

Operating System (OS) Fingerprinting is a technique that can be used to identify a network's operating systems by evaluating network traffic in the form of TCP/IP packets. This research will explore the effectiveness of passively identifying operating systems on the CIC-IDS2017 dataset, a collection of over 47 gigabyte...

Jae Sung Kim, Spencer Ekeroth, Jeremy Neale · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Dynamics as Code: On Model Compression via Dynamic System

The escalating size of pretrained neural networks has rendered model compression a prerequisite for deployment under stringent memory and compute constraints. With the irrational winding as an example, earlier work introduced a dynamic system (DS) paradigm that reconceptualizes compression as compact weight representat...

Fan Gao, Wei Su, Juntong Fan et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Cova-PINN: Cross-Domain Conservation Physics-Informed Neural Network for Fluid-Solid Conjugate Heat Transfer in Complex Geometries

Multi-domain physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) flexibly model medium-specific representations to solve fluid--solid conjugate heat transfer (CHT). However, standard multi-domain PINNs enforce governing equations and interface conditions on separately sampled domain supports, which can yield plausible temperature...

Weizheng Zhang, Xunjie Xie, Hao Pan et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

DaCe-DT: Data-Centric Offline Multi-Task Reinforcement Learning via Adaptive Prompts and Trajectory Correction for Heterogeneous Tasks

Offline multi-task reinforcement learning (Offline MTRL) heavily depends on the quality and distribution of pre-collected data. However, existing methods mainly focus on algorithmic optimization, with less emphasis on data-level improvements to enhance learning ability and generalization performance. This paper, from a...

Xinfei Wang, Shanchen Pang, Chenhao Zhang et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Oct 2026

Optimally Pacing Budget Spending and Learning

We establish near-optimal regret bounds for budget-constrained online learning against arbitrary classes of budget-pacing experts in the adversarial setting. In particular, given any class of $F$ experts and a candidate budget pacing schedule, we provide a full-information algorithm which obtains regret $O(D \sqrt{\log...

M. Braverman, Jing-Yi Liu, Jie-Ming Mao et al. · 0 citations

From tech blogs

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MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Oct 28, 2026

Making machines that can listen

Professor Paris Smaragdis develops computers with superhuman hearing for applications like speech recognition, music understanding, and environmental monitoring.

MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Oct 23, 2026

Q&A: How AI came to model the “messy” human mind

Assistant Professor Benjamin Lindquist studies how engineers deliberately injected randomness into early AI, giving rise to deep-learning models that sometimes hallucinate.

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