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#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Beyond Prediction-Set Size: Quantifying Conformal Uncertainty through Credal Geometry

Prediction-set size offers a coarse summary of conformal uncertainty. We develop a richer perspective through the geometry of credal sets: families of probability distributions compatible with conformal prediction (CP) regions. We establish this representation for split CP, extending a correspondence recently identifie...

Siu Lun Chau, Soroush H. Zargarbashi, Yusuf Sale et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Bayesian dynamic scheduling of multipurpose batch processes under incomplete look-ahead information

Multipurpose batch processes become increasingly popular in manufacturing industries since they adapt to low-volume, high-value products and shifting demands. These processes often operate in a dynamic environment, which faces disturbances such as processing delays and demand changes. To minimise long-term cost and sys...

Taicheng Zheng, Dan Li, Jie Li · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Mixture of Many Zero-Compute Experts: A High-Rate Quantization Theory Perspective

This paper uses classical high-rate quantization theory to provide new insights into mixture-of-experts (MoE) models for regression tasks. Our MoE is defined by a segmentation of the input space to regions, each with a single-parameter expert that acts as a constant predictor with zero-compute at inference. Motivated b...

Yehuda Dar · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Multidimensional Bayesian Active Machine Learning of Working Memory Task Performance

While adaptive experimental design has outgrown one-dimensional, staircase-based adaptations, most cognitive experiments still control a single factor and summarize performance with a scalar. In contrast, we validate here a Bayesian, two-axis, active-classification approach in an immersive virtual testing environment,...

Dom CP Marticorena, Chris Wissmann, Zeyu Lu et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

User Trajectory Prediction Unifying Global and Local Temporal Information

Trajectory prediction is essential for formulating proactive strategies that anticipate user mobility and support advance preparation. Therefore, how to reduce the forecasting error in user trajectory prediction within an acceptable inference time arises as an interesting issue. However, trajectory data contains both g...

Wei Hao, Bin Chong, Ronghua Ji et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Optimizable Model Averaging for Ensembling Heterogeneous Model Outputs

Foundation model ensembles can improve accuracy and robustness, but full fine-tuning and parameter-space merging are often expensive or impossible when candidate models have different architectures. We propose Optimizable Model Averaging (OMA), a black-box approach that learns nonnegative model-combination weights, one...

Mijung Park · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

EmbodiTTA: Resource-Efficient Test-Time Adaptation for Embodied Visual Systems

Continual Test-time adaptation (CTTA) continuously adapts the deployed model on every incoming batch of data. While achieving optimal accuracy, existing CTTA approaches present poor real-world applicability on resource-constrained edge devices, due to the substantial memory overhead and energy consumption. In this work...

Xiao Ma, Young D. Kwon, Dong Ma · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Disentangling Total-Variance and Signal-to-Noise-Ratio Improves Diffusion Models

Diffusion models have been widely adopted as a powerful generative framework across numerous scientific domains, yet their inherently iterative sampling process remains a significant computational bottleneck. While this is typically mitigated by reducing the number of reverse diffusion steps, sample quality becomes hig...

Khaled Kahouli, Winfried Ripken, Stefan Gugler et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Bandits with Anytime Knapsacks

We consider bandits with anytime knapsacks (BwAK), a novel version of the BwK problem where there is an \textit{anytime} cost constraint instead of a total cost budget. This problem setting introduces additional complexities as it mandates adherence to the constraint throughout the decision-making process. We propose S...

Eray Can Elumar, Cem Tekin, Osman Yagan · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Deep End-to-End Survival Analysis with Temporal Consistency

In this study, we present a novel Survival Analysis algorithm designed to efficiently handle large-scale longitudinal data. Our approach draws inspiration from Reinforcement Learning principles, particularly the Deep Q-Network paradigm, extending Temporal Learning concepts to Survival Regression. A central argument in...

Mariana Vargas Vieyra, Pascal Frossard · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Instance-Level Difficulty: A Missing Perspective in Machine Unlearning

Current research on deep machine unlearning primarily focuses on improving or evaluating the overall effectiveness of unlearning methods while overlooking the varying difficulty of unlearning individual training samples. As a result, the broader feasibility of machine unlearning remains under-explored. This paper studi...

Hammad Rizwan, Mahtab Sarvmaili, Hassan Sajjad et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

TernaryLLM: Ternarized Large Language Model

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable performance on Natural Language Processing (NLP) tasks, but they are hindered by high computational costs and memory requirements. Ternarization, an extreme form of quantization, offers a solution by reducing memory usage and enabling energy-efficient floating-point...

Tianqi Chen, Zhe Li, Weixiang Xu et al. · 0 citations

From tech blogs

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Microsoft Research Blog Oct 12, 2026

Simulating student learning for better AI tutoring

StudentSim is a research system for evaluating and improving AI tutoring tools before they are tested with learners. It models how individuals may engage with tutors, giving feedback to improve tutor performance across subjects like chess, writing, and mathematics. The post Simulating student learning for better AI tutoring appeared first on Microsoft Research.

MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Oct 7, 2026

Discovering the value of humanistic inquiry

Students in MIT’s Concourse program delve deeply into the human condition, debate challenging questions, and learn to develop judgment about issues that can’t be quantified.

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