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data science

2,429 papers

#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Express Language Modeling

We introduce a new tool, Express, for converting a non-causal attention approximation into a causal approximation with matching approximation guarantees. When combined with the state-of-the-art Thinformer approximation, Express improves upon the best known causal attention guarantees, delivering $\log^{3/2}(n)/s$ appro...

Albert Gong, Annabelle Michael Carrell, Raaz Dwivedi et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Fast and Efficient Asynchronous Gossip Algorithm for Robust and Non-Smooth Convex Decentralized Learning

Asynchronous primal-dual methods for decentralized non-smooth convex optimization often require each node to maintain $\mathcal{O}(d)$ auxiliary variables, where $d$ is its degree. This dependence on degree increases memory requirements and can amplify the effects of stale information, especially in dense networks. Mot...

Anna van Elst, Olivier Fercoq, Igor Colin et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Intersectional Fairness via Mixed-Integer Optimization

The deployment of Artificial Intelligence in high-risk domains, such as finance and healthcare, necessitates models that are both fair and transparent. While regulatory frameworks, including the EU's AI Act, mandate bias mitigation, they are deliberately vague about the definition of bias. In line with existing researc...

Ji\v{r}\'i N\v{e}me\v{c}ek, Mark Kozdoba, Illia Kryvoviaz et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Quadratic Direct Forecast for Training Multi-Step Time-Series Forecast Models

The design of learning objectives is central to training time-series forecasting models. Existing learning objectives such as mean squared error mostly treat each future step as an independent, equally weighted task, which leads to the following two challenges: (1) they overlook the label autocorrelation effect among f...

Hao Wang, Licheng Pan, Yuan Lu et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Oct 2026

FreDF: Learning to Forecast in the Frequency Domain

Time series modeling presents unique challenges due to autocorrelation in both historical data and future sequences. While current research predominantly addresses autocorrelation within historical data, the correlations among future labels are often overlooked. Specifically, modern forecasting models primarily adhere...

Hao Wang, Licheng Pan, Zhichao Chen et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Prediction-powered inference for time series across space

The following motif is common in spatiotemporal settings: we have a sequence of covariate and label pairs observed for a relatively short, recent time period. We have access to unlabeled covariates over a longer time period. Data is observed over many spatial locations. For instance, crop yield might be observed over a...

Shahzar Rizvi, David Burt, Vishwak Srinivasan et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Steering Diffusion Models to Rare Events with Sequential Monte Carlo

Diffusion models are increasingly used as surrogates for expensive simulators in weather prediction, molecular dynamics, and materials design. In these models, computing the probability $p_0[E]$ of an event $E$ is difficult, especially when the event of interest is rare. A stable estimate using Monte Carlo becomes comp...

Aavash Subedi, Tim Reichelt, Christopher Williams et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Feature Information Dynamics in Diffusion

Diffusion models generate data through a continuum of denoising problems, and are widely observed to reveal coarse structure before fine detail. Yet, this intuition is mostly empirical and qualitative. We introduce feature information dynamics, an information-theoretic framework for localizing when a feature is generat...

Jia-Shu Pan, Tao Zhang, Yufei Huang et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Information-Dense Synthesis for Molecular Discovery

Machine learning can accelerate molecular discovery by designing molecules and planning experiments. However, many scientific challenges demand molecules with very rare properties, and in this sparse setting, existing algorithms offer little gain over random guessing. We propose a method to efficiently search large reg...

Kasper K. Jakobsen, Eli N. Weinstein · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

High-Dimensional Statistical Inference for Sparse Support Vector Machines

Using a replica-symmetric high-dimensional characterization, we develop an inferential framework for sparse support vector machines when the sample size and number of features grow proportionally. The main challenge is the nonsmooth hinge loss, which prevents direct application of debiasing arguments developed for smoo...

Peng Zeng, Hanwen Huang · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Two-Sample Testing via Generative Processes

Deciding whether two samples come from the same distribution is a classical problem in statistics, and generative transport offers a new way to approach it. We build a stochastic interpolant directly between the two samples and observe that, for a symmetric schedule, its law is invariant under the time reflection $t \m...

Eshant English, Kenji Fukumizu, Taiji Suzuki · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

How Many Independent Samples Does a Satellite Image Contain? Generalization Bounds for Spatially Dependent Data

Machine learning classifiers for remote sensing imagery are typically evaluated as though every pixel were an independent sample. Spatial autocorrelation violates this assumption, since neighboring pixels carry redundant information which inflates sample sizes. How many independent samples does a satellite image actual...

Robin Young · 0 citations

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Microsoft Research Blog Oct 6, 2026

What AI gets wrong and what failure teaches us

Jennifer Neville did not want to go into computer science—but that’s exactly where she landed. Neville discusses the starts and stops that led to her professional sweet spot and her work identifying “surprising failures” making it hard for AI to handle complexity.  The post What AI gets wrong and what failure teaches us appeared first on Microsoft Research.

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