This paper develops new variance-reduction techniques for the forward-reflected-backward splitting (FRBS) method to solve a class of possibly nonmonotone stochastic composite inclusions. Unlike unbiased estimators such as mini-batching, developing stochastic biased variants faces a fundamental technical challenge and h...
This paper offers theoretical insights into when MCR yields a more favorable finite-sample estimation-error upper bound, viewed through the lens of neural network distance, and proposes a novel practical diagnostic that leverages the duality gap and a calibrated drift estimator to infer the potential benefit of MCR tra...
A simple decomposition of a neural-network-based normalizing flow that naturally uncovers a pivotal statistic in the presence of nuisance parameters, based only on a sample generator from the distribution of interest is presented.
Two new nuisances are derived as fixed points of a self-induced Bellman equation, in which they approximate the maximum Bellman operator by its softmax correspondence, and a debiased estimator is proposed through the Neyman orthogonality and established its asymptotic normality under diverging horizons.
Nan Lu, Ethan Lee, James M. Robins et al.· 0 citations
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Although probabilistic statements are ubiquitous, foundational disagreements persist about their understanding, as exemplified by debates between Bayesians and frequentists; moreover, it is unclear when and why acting on them actually leads to desirable outcomes. Here, we argue that every probability is the output of a...
We identify a diagonal saturation principle in modal inverse problems: when truncation noise is isotropic, the Bayes-optimal Tikhonov shape is a closed-form power law Gamma_k proportional to lambda_k^|s| set by the prior alone, independent of the domain. Berry's random-wave conjecture decorrelates the truncation noise...
Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are increasingly pre-trained on synthetically generated time series trajectories, where the data generating process is known. Current pre-training recipes are based on loss objectives which compare TSFM outputs to realized future values of each trajectory. We instead propose loss o...
The lower bound holds against any randomized algorithm that succeeds with constant probability and extends to settings with ``sparse''noise, ruling out the possibility of improving oracle complexity as a function of $\varepsilon$ by measuring variance in a non-matching $\ell_p$ norm.
Jelena Diakonikolas, Cristóbal Guzmán, David Martínez-Rubio· 0 citations
We develop Gaussian approximation bounds in higher-order Wasserstein distance $W_p$, $p\geq2$, for sums of multivariate martingale differences generated by a uniformly ergodic Markov chain. Under an $L^{(2+\eta)p}$-moment condition with $\eta>0$, we establish the explicit bound $$ O\left( p^3 \|A\|_4^2 + pd^{1/4}\|A\|_...
The log-ratio variation $\X_\omega$, the mean absolute pairwise difference of the target-to-pushforward log-density ratio under a weighting measure under a weighting measure, is introduced and used to define KLXX, a new loss function and the Fisher--Rao gradient flow of KLXX is derived, where both variations contribute...
Qi-Han Feng, Rong-Jie Lai, Di Qi et al.· 0 citations
Minimum-norm confidence envelope strategies offer a nonparametric approach to constructing nonasymptotic, simultaneous confidence regions for band-limited functions, exploiting the theory of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS). While the finite-sample coverage guarantees of these envelopes have been established, t...
We present a method for recovering the moral graph of a causal DAG from a probability distribution over discrete variables, using fully connected tensor networks (FCTNs) with nuclear-norm-regularized bond corrections. Each bond matrix is parameterized as a baseline all-ones matrix plus a low-rank correction $C_{ij} = U...
\'A. Troyano Olivas, Chi-Hang Fred Fung, Hans H. Brunner et al.· 0 citations
Learn how Google DeepMind and GovTech Singapore uses lightweight on-device Gemma models to intercept conversational scams in private chats with zero cloud data egress.
MIT News · Artificial Intelligence· news.mit.eduOct 8, 2026
