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data science

2,791 papers

Aligning Language Models with Observational Data: Opportunities and Risks from a Causal Perspective

It is shown that while observational outcomes can provide valuable supervision, directly fine-tuning models on such data can lead them to learn spurious correlations, and proposes DeconfoundLM, a method that explicitly removes the effect of known confounders from reward signals.

Erfan Loghmani · 1 citation
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

A Ranking Approach for Measuring Calibration

When providing forecasted probabilities with a predictive model, the ideal model offers perfect calibration: the true probability of the outcome (i.e., the probability that $Y=1$) exactly matches the forecasted probability $f(X)$. In practice, models inevitably exhibit calibration error, and it is therefore important t...

Anirban Chatterjee, Rina Foygel Barber · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

A Splitting Method for SDE Terminal-Law Estimation

In many settings involving stochastic differential equations, including in diffusion based generative AI, our aim is to accurately generate samples from a terminal distribution. Typically, this is done by generating i.i.d. samples of diffusion paths. Given a fixed simulation budget, a reasonable way to gain efficiency...

Rushil Gupta, S. Juneja · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Inference for Newton Methods with Accelerated Sketch-and-Project via Random Scaling

We study an online sketched Newton method that approximates the Newton direction at each step via a state-of-the-art sketching solver, called the generalized accelerated sketch-and-project solver (GAS), thereby mitigating the computational bottleneck of classical second-order methods. The GAS solver improves upon vanil...

Xinchen Du, Elizaveta Rebrova, Micha{\l} Derezi\'{n}ski et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Membership Inference via Pairwise Likelihood Ratios

Pairwise Likelihood MIA (PL-MIA), a unified method that combines a Gaussian likelihood-ratio (GLR) statistic with population calibration and the Cauchy combination test, is proposed, demonstrating how statistical principles can turn noisy model outputs into more powerful, calibrated, and reproducible evidence for membe...

Sheng-Jie Niu, Ze-Bin Yun, Ye-Heng Ge et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Learning Interaction Kernels from Collective Steady States

This work proposes a learning procedure for system identification in interacting particle systems from single-snapshot observations of collective behaviors, unlike existing approaches that rely on observations of trajectories, and test it on a variety of representative models with steady-state and quasi-stationary patt...

Bao-Li Hao, Mauro Maggioni, Ming Zhong · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Benign Loss Landscapes Can Coexist with Worst-Case Hardness

This work studies tree tensor networks (TTNs), a model class that generalizes deep linear networks and Tucker decompositions and shows they embed arbitrary read-once Boolean formulas, and thus contain polynomial-size targets that cannot be learned by gradient descent in polynomial time under the same mechanism as neura...

Zach Furman, Stephan Wäldchen, Yang-Da Bei et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Transfer Learning for Evolving Domains

Transfer learning explores how to leverage knowledge from various tasks or domains (sources) to enhance predictive performance in related tasks or domains (targets). Typically, transfer learning research is segmented into several isolated sub-areas (such as domain generalisation, domain adaptation, or multi-domain lear...

Ricardo Ribeiro Pereira, Jacopo Bono, H. Ferreira et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Jul 2026

A Full Adam Theorem for Spectral Heavy-Tail Onset

Every step from Adam's momentum and denominator to the spectral hitting law is formalized inside the closed state-evolution model, and it is proved that a stronger arbitrary-gradient Adam theorem is impossible, and that exact two-step linear-network loss dynamics do not identify factor spectra or heavy-tail hitting tim...

Zong-Min Liu · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Jul 2026

Dimension-Corrected Hitting Times for Heavy-Tailed Spectral Emergence in Neural Optimizer Dynamics

Theoretically, it is proved that exact early loss dynamics in linear networks do not determine factor spectral tails, that Adam recurrences alone do not imply spectral redistribution, and that projected singular-basis spreading implies contraction of a spectral-tail potential and hence a dimension-corrected hitting-tim...

Zong-Min Liu · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Convergence of Stochastic Gradient Methods under Heavy-Tailed Noise and H\"{o}lder Smoothness

Classical convergence guarantees for stochastic gradient methods typically assume Lipschitz-smooth objectives and finite-variance gradient noise, both frequently violated in practice. In contrast, we study nonconvex stochastic optimization under the joint relaxation of these assumptions: objectives with $(L,s)$-H\"olde...

M. Zaman, Anirbit Mukherjee · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Rank-Efficient LoRA via Joint Tangent-Space Optimization under Isotropic Curvature

Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) is an effective approach for adapting large pretrained models by learning low-rank weight updates. In practice, the LoRA rank is used to control an adapter's parameter budget and representational capacity. We show that this view is incomplete: while the nominal rank determines the representat...

Zi-Han Zhu, Zhe-Hang Du, Xu-Yang Chen et al. · 0 citations

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