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data science

2,653 papers

#machine learning Open access May 2026

On Kernel Eigen-Alignments of KRR: Reconstruction and Generalization

The findings reveal that in kernel methods, as long as the kernel is of high rank, the near-zero reconstruction error can be trivially obtained, implying that the reconstruction error will have limited predictive power for generalization.

Yang Liu, Ernest Fokoué, Richard D. Lange et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Trustworthy Predictive Distributions for Tail Events with Semiparametric Diagnostic Transport Maps

Machine learning forecast systems are moving beyond point predictions to full predictive distributions for future outcomes y conditional on complex inputs x. However, these distributions are often locally miscalibrated, especially for high-stakes tail events where accurate uncertainty quantification is most needed to e...

Elizabeth Cucuzzella, Rafael Izbicki, Ann B. Lee · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Attack-Resistant Uniform Fairness for Linear and Smooth Contextual Bandits

Modern digital platforms use contextual bandits to allocate valuable exposure and opportunities among competing participants. Fair treatment is therefore an important concern, yet reward maximization alone does not ensure that preferential allocation reflects participants' merits. We develop algorithms for linear and s...

Qingwen Zhang, Wenjia Wang · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Small Gradient Norm Regret for Online Convex Optimization

This paper introduces a new problem-dependent regret measure for online convex optimization with smooth losses. The notion, which we call the $G^\star$ regret, depends on the cumulative squared gradient norm evaluated at the decision in hindsight. We show that the $G^\star$ regret strictly refines the existing $L^\star...

Wenzhi Gao, Chang He, Madeleine Udell · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Accelerated stochastic first-order method for convex optimization under heavy-tailed noise

We study convex composite optimization problems, where the objective function is given by the sum of a prox-friendly function and a convex function whose subgradients are estimated under heavy-tailed noise. Existing work often employs gradient clipping or normalization techniques in stochastic first-order methods to ad...

Chuan He, Bowen Li, Zhaosong Lu · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Transfer Learning for Matrix Completion

In this paper, we explore the knowledge transfer under the setting of matrix completion, which aims to enhance the estimation of a low-rank target matrix with auxiliary data available. We propose a transfer learning procedure given prior information on which source datasets are favorable. We study its convergence rates...

Dali Liu, Yuying Xie, Haolei Weng · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

ALPCAHUS: Subspace Clustering for Heteroscedastic Data

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a key tool in the field of data dimensionality reduction. Various methods have been proposed to extend PCA to the union of subspace (UoS) setting for clustering data that comes from multiple subspaces like K-Subspaces (KSS). However, some applications involve heterogeneous data tha...

Javier Salazar Cavazos, Jeffrey A Fessler, Laura Balzano · 0 citations

Thompson Sampling for Infinite-Horizon Discounted Decision Processes

This paper develops a framework for learning in discounted infinite-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs) with Borel state and action spaces, whose rewards and transitions depend on an unknown parameter, and introduces a canonical probability space that explicitly incorporates sampled parameters into the history of...

Daniel Adelman, Çağla Keçeli, Alba V. Olivares-Nadal · 1 citation
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Combinatorial Inference on the Optimal Assortment in Multinomial Logit Models

Assortment optimization has received active explorations in the past few decades due to its practical importance. Despite the extensive literature dealing with optimization algorithms and latent score estimation, uncertainty quantification for the optimal assortment still needs to be explored and is of great practical...

Shuting Shen, Xi Chen, Ethan X. Fang et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Active Inference as a Convex Markov Decision Process

Active Inference (AIF) frames adaptive behavior as the minimization of expected free energy (EFE), combining epistemic and pragmatic objectives within a single variational principle. We frame AIF as policy optimization and show that, for closed-loop control policies, EFE minimization can be formulated as a convex Marko...

Nikola Milosevic, Nicol\'as Hinrichs, Nico Scherf · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Scaling Laws of SignSGD in Linear Regression: When Does It Outperform SGD?

We study scaling laws of signSGD under a power-law random features (PLRF) model that accounts for both feature and target decay. We analyze the population risk of a linear model trained with one-pass signSGD on Gaussian-sketched features. We express the risk as a function of model size, training steps, learning rate, a...

Jihwan Kim, Dogyoon Song, Chulhee Yun · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Vector-Valued Distributional Reinforcement Learning Policy Evaluation: A Hilbert Space Embedding Approach

We propose Kernel Embedding Distributional Reinforcement Learning (KE-DRL) an offline method to estimate kernel mean embeddings of conditional multivariate return distributions from observed offline trajectories with continuous state-action inputs and vector-valued rewards. KE-DRL approximates the conditional embedding...

Mehrdad Mohammadi, Qi Zheng, Ruoqing Zhu · 0 citations

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Microsoft Research Blog Oct 6, 2026

What AI gets wrong and what failure teaches us

Jennifer Neville did not want to go into computer science—but that’s exactly where she landed. Neville discusses the starts and stops that led to her professional sweet spot and her work identifying “surprising failures” making it hard for AI to handle complexity.  The post What AI gets wrong and what failure teaches us appeared first on Microsoft Research.

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