Calibrated Decisions Are Not Calibrated Probabilities: An Exact-Target Audit of Jev and Three Open Decision Models
Decision models answer typed questions with probabilities instead of text, and their main selling point is that those probabilities can be trusted. TypeSafe says its Jev model, trained with an unpublished method called Reinforcement Learning for Calibrated Decisions (RLCD), returns "epistemically honest" probabilities....