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Mihir Parmar

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#artificial intelligence Preprint Oct 2026

WhatIf-Bench: Benchmarking Intervention-Aware Time Series Forecasting

This work introduces WhatIf-Bench, a benchmark measuring how well forecasters use covariates to forecast a target's response to future events, and reveals generalization to Novel futures as the core challenge, and offers a testbed toward arbitrary scenario analysis.

Arjun Ashok, Mihir Parmar, Palash Goyal et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Oct 2026

SEER: Self-Evolving Event Reasoning and Retrieval for Time Series Forecasting

Real-world time series are frequently driven by exogenous events and structural shifts, rendering conventional forecasting based solely on historical numerical observations insufficient. While language models can retrieve external news, standard retrieval-augmented approaches struggle with high noise, missing signals,...

Ming-Tian Tan, Palash Goyal, Mihir Parmar et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

AIM: Agentic Idea Management for Automated Research

It is shown that explicit idea-level allocation makes semantic coverage directly controllable, and that broader coverage becomes increasingly valuable when competitive research directions are sparse among many plausible alternatives.

Hyeong Kyu Choi, Bhavana Dalvi, Jie-Feng Chen et al. · 2 citations · ⚡1
#machine learning Preprint Sep 2026

Locating Hidden Failures Makes Long-Horizon Agents More Reliable

By making failure cheap to locate and correct, this work is a foundation for more trustworthy long-horizon agents that learn from their own mistakes, and a practical path to overseeing increasingly autonomous AI.

Salman Rahman, Y. Kim, Mihir Parmar et al. · 2 citations

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