Do Your Own Research: Learning to Forecast by Learning to Search
An agentic forecasting environment, dataset, and harness built from 2,100+ resolved Polymarket questions is introduced; the agent acquires its own context at rollout time (web search, page reading, and financial time series, all restricted by layered leak filtering to information published before each question's cutoff...
Yusuf Afifi, Artur Kiulian, Anton Polishko et al.
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