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OA08.2. Impact of GLP1 Receptor Agonists on Progression of Non Dysplastic Barrett’s Esophagus: A Large Propensity Matched Cohort Study

Aug 2026 · Diseases of the esophagus · Vol 39 · 0 citations

TL;DR

GLP-1 therapy was associated with an increased risk of progression to dysplastic BE/EC in patients with non-dysplastic BE, and further prospective studies are warranted to validate these results.

Abstract

Esophageal Cancer: Barrett‘s Esophagus: High-Grade Dysplasia and Early Invasive Cancer Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) delay gastric emptying and are linked to increased gastroesophageal reflux, a recognized risk factor for Barrett’s esophagus (BE) progression to esophageal cancer (EC). Extended use of GLP-1 RAs facilitates weight loss, mitigating reflux, possibly offering a protective effect against EC. This large retrospective study aimed to assess the association between GLP-1 use with the development of dysplastic Barrett’s esophagus (BE) and EC in patients with non-dysplastic BE (NDBE). We used ICD and CPT codes within the TriNetX (a large multicenter claims based) database to identify NDBE patients. The cohort was then categorized as GLP-1 users vs. non-users based on ATC code A10BJ. A 1:1 propensity matched analysis was performed with balancing of confounders (Table 1). Primary outcomes included incidence of dysplastic BE and EC. Time to event analyses were performed. A total of 4,534 patients were identified in the GLP-1 cohort and 55,621 in the non-GLP-1 cohort. After 1:1 matching, 4,530 patients were included in each cohort. Mean follow-up was 3.57 years in GLP-1 cohort and 3.30 years in non-GLP-1 cohort. Incidence of dysplastic BE/EC in the GLP 1 cohort was 1.24% (N=56) compared to 0.54% (N=24) in non-GLP 1 cohort. GLP-1 users demonstrated significantly higher risk of developing dysplastic BE/EC compared to non-users (RR: 2.30; 95% CI: 1.47–3.70, P = 0.0004. The cumulative incidence of dysplastic BE/EC was higher among GLP-1 cohort at 3 and 5 years—0.90 %, and 1.11%, respectively—compared to 0.47%, and 0.49 % in the non-GLP-1 group. Our findings indicate that GLP-1 therapy was associated with an increased risk of progression to dysplastic BE/EC in patients with non-dysplastic BE. Further prospective studies are warranted to validate these results.

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