A law of large numbers for Macdonald coherent measures

Abstract

We resolve a conjecture on the law of large numbers for coherent measures on Young diagrams associated with Macdonald-nonnegative specializations of the algebra of symmetric functions for all $0\le q,t<1$. We prove that row and column lengths divided by the diagram size converge to the corresponding specialization parameters. The proof combines a monomial estimate for skew Macdonald polynomials with exponential tilting and binomial decompositions obtained from the branching rule for the polynomials.