This work presents OpenPM, an auditable point-in-time evaluation framework for LLM portfolio-management agents, and builds a reference agent named the tiered allocator, where typed analysts score candidates, a constructor LLM proposes weights, and a deterministic critic guarantees feasibility.
Abstract
Large language models are increasingly used to read markets, assess risk, and allocate capital. However, reported results for LLM trading agents can be inflated by look-ahead leakage, optimistic execution, and risk mandates that are described but not enforced. We present OpenPM, an auditable point-in-time evaluation framework for LLM portfolio-management agents. In OpenPM, an agent manages a \$1M long-only book over the S\&P 500 universe using market data at five-minute intervals. Every record visible to the agent must be available at the decision time. Natural-language risk mandates are converted into typed constraints and enforced on the executed portfolio. Each run produces audit artifacts, including a contamination certificate, a cost-sensitivity curve, and a constraint-adherence report. We also build a reference agent named the tiered allocator, where typed analysts score candidates, a constructor LLM proposes weights, and a deterministic critic guarantees feasibility. We isolate constructor behavior by capturing analyst evidence once and replaying it across constructor models. In our short-window case study, stronger constructors show modest and model-dependent gains over equal weighting on the same pool, but analyst quality matters more than constructor choice, and turnover is the main cost driver. All returns are upper bounds on a single frozen window without market impact, not validated alpha.
Financial institutions need an independent way to detect missing, stale, and misclassified corporate-event records in vendor databases. We introduce Search-to-Record, a database-assurance task in which search-enabled large language models reconstruct institution-defined event records from public sources for a known security universe and historical cutoff, and DelistBench, a 1,200-record benchmark for security-level delisting announcements. We evaluate five models in paired closed-book and web-enabled conditions. Web access raises announcement-date accuracy within seven days by 34.0 to 48.0 percentage points and event-status accuracy by approximately 2.8 to 21.7 points; the best system achieves 81.5% overall joint accuracy within seven days. Economy web systems achieve 75.9-78.3% overall joint accuracy within seven days at 4.5-6.6% of the API cost of the most expensive web system. Risk-based triage identifies low-error subsets, although the highest-coverage operating point still sends 27.3% of the balanced test set to review. The evaluation identifies web retrieval as the main source of timing gains and shows that low-cost systems can approach the best system's accuracy. Together, Search-to-Record, DelistBench, and the evaluation provide concrete deployment guidance: calibrate triage to local event prevalence and market mix, preserve positive-event recall, and route positive and ambiguous cases to targeted review.
Yao Xuan, Shuping Li, Yang Dai et al.· 0 citations
Public cryptocurrency archives may appear usable when files exist, although factor research requires observations available and executable at each decision time. We audit public Binance BTCUSDT USD-M perpetual-futures data using event, publication, and availability times and separate proposal from deterministic auditing, evaluation, and holdout access. An initial gapless five-minute requirement for trade, mark, index, and open interest failed: the longest unrepaired intersection was 304.5729166666667 days. A disclosed revision made trade, mark, index, and realized funding the core streams and made open interest optional because its publication time was unverified. The revised mask retained 727 complete UTC days and supported a 436/145/146-day train, validation, and historical-holdout split. On 80 frozen known-rule templates, the auditor detected 40/40 violations and rejected 0/40 legal templates. Across ten null-signal paths, full auditing reduced mean false passes from 0.2910 to 0.0625. Under matched valid-candidate budgets, the audited adaptive agent tied random search and did not establish superiority. In the one-time historical holdout, all evaluated runs had positive IC but negative net Sharpe under primary costs. We therefore report a scoped negative result rather than a profitability or agent-superiority claim.
Baocheng Zeng, Jin-Hao Yang, Pei-Lin Han et al.· 0 citations
LLM agents in financial markets may cite rules yet still submit orders that violate executable constraints or misread surveillance evidence. We introduce ReguSim, a controlled financial-compliance environment, and ReguBench, a target-marked monitoring benchmark, to separate four artifacts: stated reasoning, attempted action, execution enforcement, and monitor evidence. In trader runs with DeepSeek V4 Pro and Gemini 3.5 Flash, visible rules reduce but do not eliminate rejected actions, and incentive or persona framing shifts behavior. A bridge study shows that trader rationales can mislead an independent monitor unless enforcement evidence is shown. In monitoring, simple structured baselines either match or exceed prompt-only LLMs. The results frame financial compliance evaluation as an audit of rule-grounded actions and evidence use, rather than a single compliance score.
Yiyan Luo, Yihang Jiang, Qijun Xie et al.· 0 citations
This work presents TRACE-RealWorld (TRW), to their knowledge the first commitment-level consistency contract for world models, which makes a world model an auditable predictive interface rather than a self-validating source of truth.
Running a business is a challenging form of intelligent work. Operators must infer opportunities from partial signals, commit capital under uncertainty, adapt to delayed outcomes in a changing market, and satisfy regulatory obligations before trading legally. Frontier LLM agents can increasingly complete complex workflows, yet business-related capabilities are rarely evaluated in existing agent benchmarks. We introduce \textbf{Business Arena}, a controlled environment where an AI agent runs a cross-border shop, buying from suppliers and selling to buyers over a long horizon. We ground the arena in real Alibaba.com sourcing data and market conditions calibrated from authoritative sources. Delayed and coupled consequences make individual business decisions difficult to judge, but their combined outcome is measurable through profit. Because profit alone cannot explain why an agent succeeds or fails, we compare agents with human-designed strategies to estimate available opportunity, use skill-level metrics to reveal underlying strengths and weaknesses, and trace realized gains and losses to the actions that produced them. We use mechanism ablations to establish that strong results reflect genuine business intelligence rather than neglect or simulator-specific shortcuts. We evaluate 15 frontier models and find a ninefold difference in mean final net worth. Even the best model falls behind human-designed strategies, indicating that business operation remains challenging for LLM agents. Skill-level analysis reveals operating styles, from margin-focused premium sellers to high-turnover wholesalers and customer-service specialists, while action-level attribution identifies the sourcing, pricing, and recovery decisions that create or destroy value. Together, Business Arena takes a first step toward a realistic and trustworthy testbed for evaluating end-to-end business agents.
Yijun Pan, Yu-Kun Lian, Kun-Yu Shi et al.· 1 citation
SAGE-Fin is presented, a finance-specific authority-handoff contract that makes the proposed effect, not merely its text, the object of runtime control, and its results establish executable conformance, not independent safety accuracy.
Rui Tang, Qiang Liu, Yichi Zhang et al.· 0 citations
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