Few of the alternate approaches to Hazard Ratio based Network Meta-Analysis are demonstrated by firstly reconstructing the time-to-event dataset from Kaplan Meier curves from results of clinical trials available in public domain using relevant software and then recomputing the restricted mean survival time (RMST) estimates as well as parametric estimates assuming exponential, Weibull and Gompertz distributions to be used respectively.
Abstract
Hazard Ratio based Network Meta-Analysis (NMA) has gained popularity in evidence synthesis in data with time-to-event outcomes. However, the most commonly used Cox-Proportional Hazard ratio suffers due to lack of baseline information utilization. The proportionality assumption, which assumes that ratio of the hazards between any two treatment arms or strata is constant over time for the entire duration of study, is also violated in most Cox-regression models. In the current work we demonstrate few of the alternate approaches by firstly reconstructing the time-to-event dataset from Kaplan Meier curves from results of clinical trials available in public domain using relevant software such as ‘IPDfromKM’ and ‘DigitizeIt’ and then recomputing the restricted mean survival time (RMST) estimates as well as parametric estimates assuming exponential, Weibull and Gompertz distributions to be used respectively, each in a separate NMA. The methods are compared and the advantages of each approach is highlighted. For illustration purpose, Kaplan Meier based results from four trials of Advanced Renal Cell Cancer, are used for analysis. The results of Cox-Proportional Hazard Ratio were compared with parametric distribution-based Hazard Ratio obtained in our analysis. The RMST estimates-based analysis provided additional insights. Based on the NMA, the comparative treatment landscape is provided in terms of a treatment ranking of the included combination therapies.
Meta-analyses of survival outcomes commonly pool log hazard ratios or survival probabilities at selected time points. When reporting formats and observation times differ across studies, methods are needed to use available survival information for estimation at a common target time. We propose a functional random-effect...
Two-sample survival probability curves (TSSPCs) provide a concise way to visualize treatment differences in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). In this paper, we propose various area under the curve (AUC) metrics for TSSPCs as numerical measures for treatment effects. First, in the same spirit as the restricted mean s...
Introduction: Cost-effectiveness modeling often requires the extrapolation of survival data from clinical trials. The choice of extrapolation method is often uncertain and can have a profound effect on the results. We propose an approach that incorporates external evidence (eg, from published studies, registries, or el...
David McConnell, Arthur White, F. Lamrock et al.· Medical decision making· 0 citations
Abstract Objectives We examined long-term treatment-effect patterns relevant to treatment effect waning (TEW) modeling in oncology health technology assessment (HTA), compared the dispersion and update stability of hazard ratios (HRs) and restricted mean survival time ratios (RMSTRs), and developed prediction models to...
Ming-Ye Zhao, Han-Qiao Shao, T. Shao et al.· International Journal of Tec...· 0 citations
This package implements methods for estimating and inferring the cumulative incidence functions for time-to-event (TTE) outcomes with intercur-rent events (ICE) under the five strategies outlined in the ICH E9 (R1) adden-dum.
The log-rank/Cox hazard-ratio test remains the standard approach for the primary analysis of randomized trials with time-to-event endpoints and is fully efficient under proportional hazards (PH). Two model-free alternatives that have recently gained attention are the difference in restricted mean survival time (D-RMST)...
Xiang Meng, L. Tian, H. Uno· 0 citations
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