Kernel Stein discrepancies (KSDs) provide a versatile tool for comparing distributions. One of their main applications is in quantifying the goodness-of-fit (GoF) between a data-generating distribution and a prescribed target distribution. In this work, we study the related problem of conditional GoF quantification: given only a (possibly non-normalized) conditional target model, without information on the distribution of its covariates, and samples from a joint distribution, the goal is to assess how well the conditional distribution of the samples matches the target. To tackle this setting, we present a framework that allows lifting unconditional KSDs to the conditional setting through an operator-valued kernel on the covariate space, going beyond the known Euclidean case. We establish that our suggested statistic vanishes if and only if the conditional model and the true conditional distribution agree for almost all covariates and deploy it to test conditional GoF on smooth manifolds and on discrete spaces. Our experiments on level, power, and runtime demonstrate the viability of testing on these domains using the proposed statistic.
A model-agnostic framework based on full conditional distributions distinguishes three statistically different failure modes: loss of dependence, record reuse, and mode concentration, and provides a principled basis for validating synthetic health, surveillance, and population data.
Stein's method constructs computable discrepancies between a target distribution and a candidate distribution without requiring the target distribution's normalizing constant. These discrepancies support goodness-of-fit tests for model assessment as well as sampling tools for empirical approximation. The R package stei...
We introduce a distribution-free goodness-of-fit test, termed the omega-1 test, which naturally complements the Kolmogorov--Smirnov test and Cram\'{e}r--von Mises test and can be viewed as their (piecewise) linear analog. Defined as an $\mathrm{L}^{1}$-functional of the empirical process, the test statistic improves on...
The Oracle Approximating Shrinkage (OAS) estimator provides a closed-form, data-driven shrinkage intensity for regularizing sample covariance matrices toward a scaled identity target, but its derivation assumes Gaussian data. In practice, financial returns, neural signals, and many other high-dimensional datasets exhib...
Kernel methods are among the most powerful tools in machine learning and statistics, with a large number of successful applications. Their immense success stems from the flexible function class associated to each kernel---its reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS)---which facilitates statistical analysis, as well as f...
Jose Cribeiro-Ramallo, Florian Kalinke, Zoltán Szabó· 0 citations
In the context of functional data analysis, we propose a Bayesian test to assess whether the mean function of a Gaussian population is identically zero. By leveraging the structure of the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) associated with the covariance function of the underlying process, we approximate the mean b...
J. R. Berrendero, A. Coín, Antonio Cuevas· 0 citations
Learn how Google DeepMind and GovTech Singapore uses lightweight on-device Gemma models to intercept conversational scams in private chats with zero cloud data egress.