Extreme Binary Classification: Extreme Value Theory for Extreme Constraint on False Negative
Samuel GruffazMuhammad FawadJaakko Nevalainen
Oct 2026
Machine LearningData Science
Abstract
While binary classification is one of the most extensively studied problems in machine learning,
the regime in which the goal is to learn a classifier with an almost zero false negative rate remains largely unexplored.
In this paper, we introduce the Extreme Binary Classification problem, where the objective is to learn a classifier whose false negative rate $\alpha$ is constrained by $\epsilon_{N_1}=o_{N_1\to\infty}(1/N_1)$, with $N_1$ denoting the number of positive examples in the training set.
To address this problem, we propose a threshold adaptation method theoretically grounded in guarantees derived from Extreme Value Theory, together with a feature selection procedure based on a permutation test applied to sample maxima.
Experimental results on four real-world datasets of varying sizes demonstrate that our approach compares favorably with state-of-the-art methods.
In addition, we illustrate its interpretability through an application to a cancer screening dataset.
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