Aug 2026· Journal of Risk and Financial Management· Vol 19, pp. 580· 0 citations· 32 references
Abstract
This study examines how non-interest income diversification affects bank performance and risk in selected emerging Asian economies. Drawing on panel data from 44 banks across China (36) and Thailand (8) over 2022–2025, the analysis employs fixed-effects regressions, mediation analysis, and subsample testing to unpack the performance implications of revenue diversification. The non-interest income ratio (NII) serves as the proxy for income diversification, capturing the strategic shift away from traditional net-interest margins toward fee-based and digitally facilitated activities in markets where mobile payment ecosystems and virtual banking frameworks have reshaped competitive dynamics. Results indicate that NII exerts a statistically significant positive effect on bank profitability (ROA and ROE), with no corresponding increase in risk exposure as measured by Z-score. The relationship is markedly stronger among large banks, consistent with scale advantages in technology infrastructure, network effects, and regulatory compliance cost amortization. Cost efficiency does not mediate the NII-performance nexus, suggesting that revenue-side mechanisms dominate in this context. Cross-country exploratory patterns reveal stable but modest effects in China’s mature diversification ecosystem against larger but statistically imprecise coefficients in Thailand’s early-stage transition. These findings offer a qualified complement to the Western-centric complexity-risk narrative and highlight institutional boundary conditions governing bank diversification outcomes in emerging markets.
Interest rate liberalization pressures Chinese listed banks to expand non-interest in-come, yet prior research overlooks capital-market valuation responses. Using a bal-anced panel of 24 A-share banks (2015–2024, 240 observations) with two-way fixed-effects regressions, we find that non-interest income ratio (NIIR) significantly boosts ROE (β=0.055, p=0.003) but has no significant effect on market capitalization (p=0.304). Mechanism analysis reveals that investors view fee-based income as pas-sive compensation for shrinking spreads, not sustainable growth, thus denying valua-tion premiums. Credit risk and net interest margins remain key drivers for both prof-its and market prices. This study constructs a dual "accounting profit + market valua-tion" framework, filling a gap in diversification literature, and offers strategic impli-cations for bank management, investors, and regulators to prioritize quality over scale in non-interest businesses.
Xiongtu Lin, Jennifer M. Perez· Economics & Business Man...· 0 citations
In emerging economies, especially in the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ), where banks predominate in financial intermediation despite macroeconomic uncertainty, the financial sustainability of banks remains a major policy concern. This study adds two important new findings to the existing literature by examining the impact of income diversification on banks' long-term growth. First, this study employs the sustainable growth rate as the primary performance metric, capturing banks' capacity to expand internally without external funding, in contrast to most earlier studies that focus on short-term profitability or stability metrics. Second, the study provides new evidence on how market structure influences the efficacy of income diversification strategies by explicitly modeling bank competition as an interaction factor in the relationship between income diversification and sustainable growth rate. Using an unbalanced panel of 24 listed banks from Ghana and Nigeria over the period 2015-2024, and a dynamic two-step system generalized method of moments estimator to address endogeneity and persistence, the results show that income diversification greatly improves banks' sustainable growth. More significantly, there is a positive and statistically significant interaction between income diversification and bank competition, suggesting that higher pricing power and more intense competition increase the advantages of income diversification. These results extend the banking literature by demonstrating that the impact of income diversification on long-term growth is conditional on bank market structure. The study presents important policy implications for regulators in the WAMZ, emphasizing the need to promote prudent income diversification strategies alongside a competitive banking environment to enhance financial sustainability.
F. Anande-Kur, Suresh Ramakrishnan, Khartic Rao Manokaran et al.· Asian Journal of Empirical R...· 0 citations
This paper examines the relationship between revenue diversification, profitability, and risk in European banks, with particular emphasis on the structural break induced by the COVID-19 shock. Using quarterly supervisory data from the European Banking Authority (EBA) over the period 2016Q1–2024Q4, we distinguish between pre- and post-pandemic regimes and estimate dynamic fixed-effects models that account for unobserved heterogeneity and persistence in bank performance. The results reveal a pattern consistent with regime dependence. Descriptive (quintile-based) comparisons suggest that banks with greater reliance on non-interest income tended to report higher profitability prior to COVID-19, although data limitations prevent us from confirming this pattern in a full multivariate regression for the pre-COVID subsample. In the post-COVID period, once bank and time fixed effects, persistence, and balance-sheet characteristics are properly controlled for, revenue diversification does not exert a statistically significant effect on either profitability or earnings volatility; this result is robust across bank fixed effects only, two-way (bank and time) clustered, and one-way (bank) clustered specifications. We show that diversification is systematically associated with differences in bank size, capitalization, and lending intensity, indicating that income structure is closely linked to underlying business model characteristics. These findings suggest that the observed diversification–performance relationship largely reflects cross-sectional heterogeneity rather than a stable causal effect. Overall, the evidence indicates that revenue diversification does not provide a consistent improvement in risk-adjusted performance in European banking. Instead, performance and risk dynamics are primarily driven by balance-sheet composition and persistence. The results highlight the importance of accounting for structural heterogeneity and macroeconomic regimes when evaluating the role of non-interest income in bank performance.
Ifigeneia Persaki, Fotios Siokis· Journal of Risk and Financia...· 0 citations
This study examines the effect of income diversification on bank performance in Indonesia using a Fixed Effect model with clustered standard errors. Bank performance is measured by ROA, ROE, SHROA, SHROE, and Z_SCORE, while income diversification is proxied by DIV_ADJ. The model also includes bank type, digitalization, and several control variables such as bank size, capital adequacy, operational costs, credit risk, and macroeconomic conditions. The results show that income diversification has a positive and significant effect only on risk-adjusted performance (SHROA and SHROE), but not on conventional profitability or stability. The moderating effects of bank type and digitalization are partial and inconsistent. Among control variables, bank size is the most consistent determinant of performance, while capital adequacy improves stability and credit risk reduces performance. Overall, income diversification mainly enhances bank performance through risk-adjusted measures, and its effectiveness depends on bank characteristics and risk management quality.
Rizka Rimasda, Maria Ulpah· EKOMBIS REVIEW: Jurnal Ilmia...· 0 citations
This study investigates how digital transformation affects commercial banks' non-interest income in emerging markets, examining the moderating roles of banking competition intensity and net interest margin to clarify boundary conditions that shape digitalization outcomes.
Drawing on panel data from 135 Chinese commercial banks over 2011–2021, this study develops a theoretical model distinguishing productivity enhancement and resource reallocation mechanisms, then employs two-way fixed effects estimation with instrumental variable and system GMM robustness checks.
Digital transformation significantly increases non-interest income through both direct productivity gains and induced resource shifts toward fee-based activities. Competition intensity positively moderates this relationship, amplifying digital investment returns in contested markets. Net interest margin negatively moderates the relationship, such that margin compression strengthens digital transformation's promotional effects. State-owned banks and capital-constrained institutions derive comparatively larger benefits from digitalization.
Banks should calibrate digital strategies to their specific competitive and profitability contexts, with those facing intense competition or margin erosion benefiting most from comprehensive digital repositioning that aligns platform investments with fee-based business expansion.
This study advances understanding of digital transformation in emerging market banking by integrating dual moderating mechanisms within a unified theoretical framework, clarifying how external competitive pressures and internal profitability conditions jointly shape the returns to digital investment in non-interest income.
Xue Lei· International Journal of Eme...· 0 citations
We use cookies to run the site and, with your consent, for analytics and to show ads.
See our Cookie Policy.