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#machine learning #data science Preprint Open access

Estimation of the Label-Noise Transition Matrix with Performance Guarantees via Selective Classification

Xabier de Juan Santiago Mazuelas Yilun Zhu Clayton Scott
Oct 2026
Machine Learning Data Science

Abstract

Modern machine learning depends heavily on massive datasets, but obtaining high-quality annotations at scale is often expensive. As a result, learning from noisily-labeled data has become common, making accurate estimation of the label-noise transition matrix crucial. However, existing transition matrix estimators rely on the fragile estimation of class-posteriors and do not provide finite-sample performance guarantees. In this work, we propose a novel methodology to estimate the transition matrix based on one-sided selective classification. This approach bypasses class-posterior estimation, provides finite-sample performance guarantees, and leverages flexible learning methods for binary classification. Moreover, we introduce effective algorithms to implement the proposed methodology and provide their refined finite-sample performance bounds.

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