Beyond Compliance: Skeptical Intelligence for Digital Twin Governance in Critical Infrastructure

Abstract

Digital twins are becoming vital decision-making infrastructures across critical infrastructure sectors such as smart city urban services, transportation, energy, and healthcare. As digital twins become autonomous and gain real-time intervention capabilities, their governance becomes increasingly essential. Yet existing governance mechanisms remain largely procedural: they emphasize compliance without operationalizing the cognitive practices required to question assumptions, detect algorithmic harms, or support legitimate multi-actor deliberation. Drawing on a systematic scoping review, this study synthesizes the literature on digital twin autonomy, algorithmic risks, epistemic foundations, and governance mechanisms. The review reveals a fundamental gap: current governance mechanisms lack institutionalized cognitive capacities for continuous validation, proactive detection of emerging harms, and structured multi-stakeholder deliberation. This gap is corroborated by a limited but growing body of empirical studies on governance in deployed DT settings. To address this gap, the paper proposes the skeptical intelligence framework, developed through design science research. The framework integrates three cognitive functions: validation, detection, and deliberation supported by operational principles, governance artifacts, and distributed accountability roles. The framework advances digital twin governance beyond compliance toward a model rooted in critical epistemology, reflexivity, transparency, and democratic legitimacy. Consistent with design science research, the framework is delivered and evaluated at design time; empirical implementation and outcome evaluation are planned across multi-actor digital twin infrastructure contexts, including smart city governance, port logistics, and energy networks, where DT-mediated decisions redistribute opportunities and risks across heterogeneous stakeholders. Empirical validation in an operational setting is planned as the next phase of this research.