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Where RLOO Stops on Countdown: A Capability Ceiling at the Additive ↔ Multiplicative Boundary

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TL;DR

A controlled diagnostic study is run, treating the collapse hypothesis as a claim to be falsified rather than assumed, and instrument a baseline RLOO run with diagnostics beyond the standard optimisation metrics: structural (AST) rollout diversity, effective sample size, a three-way zero-advantage decomposition, and reward composition.

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