Statistical Properties of Deep Neural Networks with Dependent Data
Chad Brown
Sep 2026
Machine LearningData Science
Abstract
This paper develops theory for deep neural network (DNN) estimators under dependent data. To provide theory applicable to a variety of DNN-based estimators, I first establish nonasymptotic probability bounds on the theoretical and empirical $\mathcal{L}^{2}$-errors of nonparametric sieve estimators for a general class of estimation problems under possibly nonstationary $\beta$-mixing data taking values in unbounded sets. I then apply the theory to fully connected and convolutional DNN estimators without bounds or sparsity restrictions on the DNN weights. For both DNN classes, I derive general results when the function to be estimated is H\"older smooth and the data are nonstationary, subgaussian, and $\beta$-mixing with either exponential or polynomial decay. I then specialize these to nonparametric regression, logistic regression, and quantile regression settings. Under exponential $\beta$-mixing, the resulting estimators attain the nonparametric minimax rate of Stone (1982) up to logarithmic factors.
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