From Ecological Monitoring to Prevention Decision Support: A Critical Review of Artificial Intelligence for Forest Fire Prevention
TL;DR
The synthesis shows that AI is most mature for multimodal sensing, smoke/fire detection, susceptibility mapping, and short-horizon forecasting, but less mature for prospective decision-support validation, cross-ecosystem transfer, and operational accountability.
Abstract
Forest fire prevention increasingly depends on translating ecological monitoring into earlier, more reliable decisions about ignition risk, fuel condition, spread potential, and management intervention. This critical review evaluates artificial intelligence (AI) for forest fire prevention through full-text extraction of core studies and contextual synthesis of foundational fire-science literature. The evidence base contains 179 unique references, including an AI-focused corpus, classical deterministic and probabilistic fire-danger and spread models, global ignition and lightning studies, remote-sensing and fuel-moisture foundations, decision-support tools, and governance literature. We define prevention-facing AI as systems that support pre-ignition or pre-escalation decisions and compare studies by data source, model design, validation protocol, forecast horizon, transferability, interpretability, and management action. The synthesis shows that AI is most mature for multimodal sensing, smoke/fire detection, susceptibility mapping, and short-horizon forecasting, but less mature for prospective decision-support validation, cross-ecosystem transfer, and operational accountability. AI is therefore most useful when it is hybrid, interpretable, and deployment-aware: it should complement established fire-weather and spread-model baselines while converting ecological observations into timely and actionable prevention judgments.