Insurance as AI Risk Infrastructure: A Generative-Agent Simulation of AI Adoption
TL;DR
This paper introduces a socio-economic framework that complements existing technical safeguards by transferring and absorbing the residual financial consequences of AI adoption through insurance, and develops an LLM-driven agent-based social simulation (LABSS) system.
Abstract
The rapid evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) tools has demonstrated immense potential to enhance societal well-being and operational efficiency. However, the inherent unreliability and uncertain operational consequences of modern AI systems, typified by large language models (LLMs), have created a significant barrier to enterprise adoption. Many enterprises remain hesitant to integrate these tools deeply into their workflows due to concerns about unpredictable losses and liability exposure. While existing technical safeguards primarily seek to reduce the likelihood or severity of AI-enabled workflow failures, they do not by themselves provide ex post financial protection when residual pecuniary tail losses materialize. In this paper, we introduce a socio-economic framework that complements these safeguards by transferring and absorbing the residual financial consequences of AI adoption through insurance. To evaluate this framework, we develop an LLM-driven agent-based social simulation (LABSS) system. We assess the behavioral validity of the simulation using established economic and sociological theories. Our analysis demonstrates that the proposed insurance framework reduces firm-level financial exposure, thereby accelerating the aggregate adoption of AI tools and improving firm solvency and aggregate capital.