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12,041 papers

#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Universal Local Error and Realized Amplification for the First-Order EDM Predictor

We analyze the first-order deterministic diffusion sampler of Karras et al. (2022), termed EDM, in 2-Wasserstein distance by separating two sources of error: local discretization error and its amplification by subsequent learned steps. We prove that local error admits a universal bound: for any data distribution with f...

Nicolas Brosse, Arnak S. Dalalyan · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Kinetic Langevin Meets Split Gibbs: Accelerated Posterior Sampling for Imaging Inverse Problems with Diffusion Priors

Split Gibbs sampling (SGS) is a popular framework for posterior sampling in Bayesian imaging inverse problems. It decouples a Gaussian data-fidelity term from a complex prior through an auxiliary variable, so the data variable is updated exactly and only the prior-side conditional is hard to sample. Existing samplers t...

Dai Hai Nguyen, Duc Dung Nguyen · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Conformal Prediction for Spatially Dependent Data via Sequential Whitening

Split conformal prediction uses prediction errors on held-out (calibration) data to determine how wide the prediction intervals should be. It guarantees distribution-free finite-sample coverage when these errors and the error at the target site are exchangeable. This assumption may fail under spatial dependence and non...

Ayush Baran Sen, Arkajyoti Saha · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Policy Learning with Weak Signals

Policy learning in digital experimentation faces three challenges: weak signal-to-noise ratios, rich covariate spaces, and massive data volumes. We formalize this regime by modeling treatment-effect estimates from increasingly fine covariate partitions as Gaussian observations with bounded signal-to-noise ratios. We es...

Benedikt Koch, Winston Chou, Aur\'elien Bibaut et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Progress and Prospect of AI in ARPES Workflow

Artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming an increasingly useful tool across the experimental sciences, including angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy (ARPES), which routinely produces large, multidimensional datasets of electronic structure. Recent advances in AI and machine learning (ML) have opened new opportuni...

Sandy Adhitia Ekahana, Aalok Tiwari, Pratik Saud et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Attention via Black-Box Vector Search

Sparse attention mechanisms estimate attention over $n$ tokens using a small subset of keys. Many existing approaches use maximum inner product search (MIPS) to retrieve the heaviest keys, which motivates the following question: given black-box access to a MIPS oracle, how many keys must be retrieved to output an $\var...

Stepan Zharkov, Krish Singal, Ashwin Padaki et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Training with Missed Targets in Generative Recommendation: Separating Supervision from Probability Competition

Generative recommenders return a limited candidate set and may omit observed targets before reranking. A training strategy appends these missed targets to reranker training lists, although inference still ranks only original candidates. This operation simultaneously changes retrieved-target weight, adds supervision ove...

Xuesi Wang, Yangbin Shi, Xiaolin Zheng · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Sharp Asymptotic Theory of Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Gaussian Processes with an RBF Kernel

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used across machine learning, spatial statistics, time-series analysis, optimization, Bayesian statistics, and scientific applications. A central component of a GP model is its kernel, which is typically specified through a parametric family. Among the most widely used choices is the...

Ameer Qaqish, Didong Li · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Towards Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasts for Events of Interest via Outcome-Conditional Recalibration

Calibration is an essential requirement for probabilistic predictions to be useful for decision making. While state-of-the-art prediction methods often yield miscalibrated predictive distributions, several post-hoc recalibration schemes have been proposed to generate calibrated predictions. However, popular recalibrati...

Jakob Benjamin Wessel, Sam Allen · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Transition Path Sampling Using Koopman Operators and Exit-Time Optimal Control

Sampling transitions between metastable states is a central problem in dynamical systems theory and molecular dynamics in particular. A key challenge is the existence of high free-energy barriers that separate the states, making transitions extremely rare. Recent machine learning-based methods cast transition path samp...

Boya Hou, Shane Wang, Siddharth Ambekar et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Evolve on the Host, Predict on the Edge: Deploying Online Neuroevolutionary Architecture Search for Cross-sectional Stock Return Prediction

Accurate forecasting models are usually large, expensive to update online, and fixed in architecture once trained. We apply ONE-NAS, an online neuroevolutionary architecture search that evolves a population of small recurrent networks as each window of data arrives, to daily cross-sectional stock return prediction, and...

Jonathan Chang, Zimeng Lyu · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Oct 2026

Gaussian Equivalence for Multi-Head Self-Attention

A theoretical understanding of multi-head self-attention is fundamental to the study of modern neural networks. Using random matrix theory, we establish Gaussian equivalence for multi-head self-attention: replacing softmax attention with rescaled scores plus Gaussian noise preserves the limiting spectral law of the cen...

Tomohiro Hayase, Ryo Karakida · 0 citations

From tech blogs

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MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Oct 7, 2026

Discovering the value of humanistic inquiry

Students in MIT’s Concourse program delve deeply into the human condition, debate challenging questions, and learn to develop judgment about issues that can’t be quantified.

Microsoft Research Blog Oct 7, 2026

Agent Lightning v1.0: A 3,500-Line Lightweight Agentic RL Framework for Training Agents with Real Harnesses

Training AI agents with reinforcement learning can be challenging because their tools, context, and decision-making are managed by complex frameworks. Agent Lightning connects existing agents to RL training, making it easier to improve them without rebuilding them. The post Agent Lightning v1.0: A 3,500-Line Lightweight Agentic RL Framework for Training Agents with Real Harnesses appeared first on Microsoft Research.

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