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Ziran Wang

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Preprint Aug 2026

How Can Driving World Models Do Counterfactual Prediction?

Driving world models are often interpreted as counterfactual simulators for observed driving episodes: given a factual driving log, they are asked what would have happened under an alternative ego action. In this paper, we identify a fundamental mismatch between this goal and direct action-conditioned prediction. The direct prediction uses the shared history and the alternative action but not the factual continuation observed after that history. It can therefore generate a plausible future without preserving what actually happened in this episode. We formalize this gap using the causal recipe of abduction, action, and prediction and study it in a setting with a short time horizon, where the alternative ego action does not alter how surrounding agents evolve. To make the gap measurable, we construct a controlled simulation benchmark with factual outcomes and matched counterfactual outcomes. Across two representative world models, direct predictions fail to match the counterfactual ground truth, supporting our analysis. As a constructive check of this analysis, we introduce a deliberately simple, training-free pipeline that moves observed evidence into the counterfactual view and lets the frozen model complete what remains unknown. Even this simple construction raises the overall recovered fraction substantially and reduces perceptual distance to the matched counterfactual on both models. We hope this work draws attention to this gap and motivates better counterfactual prediction methods for driving world models.

Jiaru Zhang, Can Cui, Yi Xu et al. · 0 citations
Review Open access Aug 2026

Generative AI for Autonomous Driving: Frontiers and Opportunities

Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) constitutes a transformative technological wave that reconfigures industries through its unparalleled capabilities for content creation, reasoning, planning, and multimodal understanding. This revolutionary force offers the most promising path yet toward solving one of engineering’s grandest challenges: achieving reliable, fully autonomous driving, particularly the pursuit of Level 5 autonomy. This survey delivers a comprehensive and critical synthesis of the emerging role of GenAI across the autonomous driving stack. We delve into the frontier applications of GenAI in image, LiDAR, trajectory, occupancy, and video generation, as well as LLM-guided reasoning and decision-making. We categorize practical applications, such as end-to-end driving strategies and closed-loop simulations. We identify key obstacles and possibilities such as comprehensive generalization across rare cases, evaluation, safety, and onboard deployment. By unifying these threads, the survey provides a forward-looking reference for researchers, engineers, and policymakers navigating the convergence of generative AI and advanced autonomous mobility. An actively maintained repository of cited works is available at https://github.com/taco-group/GenAI4AD.

Yuping Wang, Shuo Xing, Cui Can et al. · 56 citations · ⚡2
Review Jul 2026

Post-Training in End-to-End Autonomous Driving

A unified view of post-training for autonomous driving is presented by defining its scope and organizing the existing literature into four major families based on the form of supervision they use, which aim to facilitate a systematic understanding of this emerging area and stimulate future research on reliable and efficient post-training for autonomous driving.

Ruining Yang, Mu Wang, Yi-Xiao Chen et al. · 1 citation

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