Financial AI systems often train information extractors on one textual register and deploy them across filings, news, and user-generated content, and standard F1 scores do not indicate which predictions remain safe to automate when that input distribution changes. We study confidence estimation and selective prediction for financial named entity recognition (NER) on a three-tier stress test spanning SEC filings, financial news, and general-topic social media as an extreme out-of-domain condition, evaluating a BERT tagger and LoRA-tuned Qwen2.5-0.5B/1.5B models with five inference-time confidence signals, three training seeds, and bootstrap intervals. Confidence rankings themselves change under shift: whole-output probability is the strongest in-domain error detector but deteriorates out of domain, whereas entity-span probability and self-consistency are more robust; self-consistency is also better calibrated without post-hoc fitting. Abstention reduces sentence error from 34.3% to below 2% on the highest-confidence 40% of in-domain inputs and remains useful on financial news, but recovers no usefully large clean subset under the extreme social-media shift. These results motivate a staged deployment strategy that detects severe distribution shift upstream before applying prediction-level confidence gating.
Zihao Zheng, Baichuan Li, Junyi Yao et al.· 0 citations
Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly proposed for healthcare tasks such as clinical documentation, evidence retrieval, patient messaging, and care coordination. Yet many evaluations remain limited to static medical question answering or one-shot generation, under-representing longitudinal state, interruptions, and human handoffs. We introduce an episode-level evaluation protocol for healthcare NLP agents. The protocol separates evidence across model, agent, and simulated-workflow behavior; specifies a five-field episode schema; and defines annotation and scoring for state continuity, evidence traceability, and escalation decisions. It is instantiated as four task templates: documentation update, evidence retrieval, patient messaging, and triage handoff. The protocol does not claim to measure clinical outcomes or deployment value. Instead, it supplies a reproducible intermediate evaluation layer between static benchmarks and prospective workflow studies, with an explicit cost-sensitive treatment of missed versus unnecessary escalation.
Jun-Yi Yao, Baichuan Li, Zi-Hao Zheng et al.· 0 citations
Persistent memory can personalize an LLM agent, but an incorrect durable update can silently distort future behavior. We study the memory-clarification boundary: whether interaction-derived information should be persisted, used only in the current context, re-verified, or clarified with the user. MCB contains 140 primary scenarios, split into 70 development and 70 held-out items, plus a separate 70-item contrast set. It evaluates both action labels and structured tool-call selection. Two non-authors independently label the 70 held-out primary and 70 contrast items (97.1% agreement, Cohen's kappa = 0.962); a blind third resolves four disagreements, replacing eight author labels by non-author majority. Across Claude and Qwen, models verify changing facts more reliably than they ask users to resolve ambiguity. Bare Qwen asks on 0/12 clarification items while verifying 12/18 freshness items. Few-shot prompting raises accuracy from 0.557 to 0.771 (paired delta = +0.214, Holm-adjusted exact McNemar p_H = 0.002), yet clarification recall remains 0.333. The policy prompt reduces erroneous persistence from 0.243 to 0.100 (p_H = 0.038), although its accuracy gain is not significant. Label-tool agreement is 57% for each Claude model and 23% for Qwen; Qwen accuracy falls from 0.557 to 0.343 (p_H = 0.047). Memory evaluation must test both stated decisions and tool-call choices.
Baichuan Li, Junyi Yao, Zihao Zheng· 1 citation
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