AlphaBet: Reinforcement Learning for LLM Event Forecasting Agents
Forecasting an unresolved event requires finding relevant evidence and deciding how strongly it supports each outcome. Yet outcome-based training of Large Language Model (LLM) forecasters often begins with preassembled evidence at a single prediction date, leaving evidence acquisition outside the learning loop. We intr...
Li-Qin Ye, Rong-Zhi Zhang, Xin Liu et al.
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