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Yizhou Wang

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Open access Jul 2026

Context-Aware Asymmetric Conformal Calibration of Renewable-Power Prediction Intervals for Day-Ahead Operational Risk Assessment

High renewable penetration makes day-ahead operation sensitive to the directional effects of wind and photovoltaic forecast errors. Conventional prediction intervals mainly evaluate coverage and sharpness, but lower- and upper-boundary violations correspond to different operational risks: shortage-side supply-adequacy...

Peng Han, Jun Zhao, Yu Liu et al. · 0 citations

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