Author

Yan Wang

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Preprint Sep 2026

Prediction-Market Seed Capital Recovery from Noise-Dominant Flow

Automated prediction markets require sponsors to prefund liquidity before observing order flow, creating a financing challenge at launch. We study whether nonnegative charges conditioned on observable payoff direction can improve recovery of this prefunded capital while limiting their effect on informed participation....

Yan-Kai Chen, Bowei He, Zhuo-Han Xie et al. · 1 citation

Preprint Aug 2026

Factorized Hypothesis Search for Evidence-to-Taxonomy Retrieval

This work proposes Factorized Hypothesis Search (FHS), which maintains multiple partial interpretations over named semantic dimensions that support structured query rendering, multi-hypothesis retrieval, and dimension-level candidate verification.

Lin-Hai Ma, Ethan F. Wei, Xue-Qing Peng et al. · 0 citations