Optimal geometric barriers for weighted observability of heat semigroups on metric measure spaces
Weighted integrated observability inequalities for heat equations usually involve a small-time factor of the form $e^{-\gamma/t}$. We prove that this scale is not an artefact of Carleman or spectral methods: it is forced by the geometry of the observation set. Let $A$ be a nonnegative self-adjoint operator on sections of a finite-rank Euclidean vector bundle over a doubling metric measure space, satisfying ultracontractivity, Davies-Gaffney estimates (equivalently, finite speed of propagation for the wave equation) and a pointwise local Weyl law. If a weighted integrated observability inequality holds on a measurable set $\omega$, for a fixed horizon $T\in(0,+\infty]$ and an admissible weight $h$, then, for every $0<\kappa<\frac{1}{2}$, $$ h(t)\leq A_{T,\kappa}\exp\left(-\kappa\frac{\mathcal{L}(\omega)^2}{t}\right),\qquad 0<t<T, $$ where $\mathcal{L}(\omega)$ is the essential maximal distance to $\omega$, replaced by any finite radius when $\mathcal{L}(\omega)=+\infty$. Thus, for $h(t)=e^{-\gamma/t}$, necessarily $\gamma\geq\mathcal{L}(\omega)^2/2$. This settles, with the optimal threshold, the maximal-distance lower bound for the infinite-time constant left open in earlier work. In the control-norm convention, the fast-control rate is at least $\mathcal{L}(\omega)^2/4$, recovering Miller's bound. The proof rests on the spectral packet $(\cosh(r\sqrt A)-1)e^{-tA}$. A pointwise Weyl law gives its sharp lower growth, while finite propagation speed and a weak-kernel Kannai transmutation formula make it exponentially small on $\omega$. Without kernel continuity or compact resolvent, we develop pointwise spectral measures and weak wave kernels. The framework covers Laplace-type operators on compact Riemannian manifolds, coupled heat systems, Schr\"odinger operators on $\mathbb{R}^d$, equiregular sub-Laplacians and Grushin models, and $\delta'$-coupled Laplacians on metric graphs.