Partial-Revelation Panel Forecasting: Predictive Information Gain, Allocation, and Coarsening-Consistent Operators
Coarsened-consistent panel operators with a closed-form Dirichlet-multinomial realization, learned completion, and rater-count transfer are defined, with modest and corpus-dependent gains, with several small or null partial-revelation differences.
Bin Wen, Dai-Qiao Zhang, Tien-Ping Tan
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