Author

Suproteem K. Sarkar

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Review

Returns to intelligence: Worker and firm adaptation to advances in AI

Analyzing work patterns of nearly 200,000 software developers at 500 firms suggests benchmarks alone are insufficient for evaluating economic responses to AI progress, as new model capabilities reshape worker tasks and propagate unevenly across firm types.

Suproteem K. Sarkar, Luke Melas-Kyriazi, M. Agarwal et al. · 0 citations

#artificial intelligence Preprint Sep 2026

Dutch Books for Language Models

A procedure that builds on a theorem due to de Finetti to evaluate the coherence of language model probabilistic forecasts through a procedure that uses linear programs to compute the largest Dutch-book profit, finding substantial evidence of incoherence in language model forecasts.

Isaiah Andrews, Suproteem K. Sarkar · 3 citations