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Shonosuke Sugasawa

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Preprint Aug 2026

Log-regularly varying scale mixture of asymmetric Laplaces for robust Bayesian quantile regression

Bayesian quantile regression based on the asymmetric Laplace (AL) distribution can be sensitive to extreme observations because of its exponentially decaying tails. We propose a robust error distribution constructed as a finite mixture of the AL distribution and a log-Pareto scale mixture of asymmetric Laplace distribu...

Dongu Han, Genya Kobayashi, Shonosuke Sugasawa · 0 citations
Preprint Sep 2026

Beyond Tweedie's Formula: Conditional Score Modeling for Empirical Bayes Inference

We propose conditional f-modeling (Cf-modeling), a framework for empirical Bayes inference with covariates. A central identity shows that the conditional marginal score function determines not only the posterior mean through Tweedie's formula, but also the posterior moment-generating function, providing a basis for rec...

Shonosuke Sugasawa, Zhi-Gen Zhao · 0 citations
Preprint Sep 2026

Finite Mixtures of Generalized Estimating Equations for Clustering Multivariate Correlated Outcomes

Multivariate correlated outcomes occur across disciplines, including ecology, social sciences, and psychometrics. This paper focuses on clustering these outcomes across observational units, specifically, finding groups of units with the same ``outcome profile". Our motivation comes from bioregionalization in ecology, w...

Shonosuke Sugasawa, Francis K. C. Hui · 0 citations
Open access Aug 2026

Fast robust additive models using gamma-divergence

This article applies gamma-divergence to the restricted maximum likelihood function of the additive model, based on treating the smoothing coefficients as random effects, which leads to an efficient minorization-maximization algorithm that adaptively downweights the impact of outlying observations via a set of normaliz...

Francis K. C. Hui, Ding Ding, Shonosuke Sugasawa · 0 citations
Preprint Aug 2026

Log-regularly varying scale mixture of asymmetric Laplaces for robust Bayesian quantile regression

Bayesian quantile regression based on the asymmetric Laplace (AL) distribution can be sensitive to extreme observations because of its exponentially decaying tails. We propose a robust error distribution constructed as a finite mixture of the AL distribution and a log-Pareto scale mixture of asymmetric Laplace distribu...

Dongu Han, Genya Kobayashi, Shonosuke Sugasawa · 0 citations

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