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Samuel Manda

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Review Open access Sep 2026

Modeling multivariate lattice data with Dirichlet process mixture spatial random effects

Abstract Many multivariate Bayesian spatial models for joint disease mapping assume Gaussian distributions for the spatial random effects, which can be restrictive when the true distributions are unknown. We develop a nonparametric Bayesian methodology that uses a Dirichlet process mixture prior to model spatial random...

K. Ayalew, Samuel Manda, Bo Cai · 0 citations
Review Open access Jul 2026

Modelling geographical variation in the determinants of childhood malaria in Malawi using geographically weighted regression.

Geographically Weighted Regression was applied to data from the recent 2024 Malawi Demographic and Health Survey to estimate district-specific associations between childhood malaria and selected risk factors, namely mosquito net use, place of residence, household wealth, maternal age, and maternal education.

Mary Magoya, Samuel Manda, B. Ejigu · 0 citations
Open access Aug 2026

Hierarchical Bayesian autoregressive smooth transition time series models

Hierarchical Bayesian smooth transition autoregressive models provide accurate forecasts by accommodating nonlinear regime-switching dynamics while delivering robust uncertainty quantification, which makes them well suited for infectious disease surveillance and public health decision-making in resource-limited, high-u...

G. Singini, Samuel Manda · 0 citations

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